Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37952617›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2024

Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability.

Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Raf E V Jansen, Daniel I Avila Ortega, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Jonathan F Donges, Henrik Österblom, Per Olsson, Magnus Nyström, Steven J Lade, Thomas Hahn and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Whose conservation, revisited: how a focus on people-nature relationships spotlights new directions for conservation science.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Complex systems perspective in assessing risks in artificial intelligence.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2024
    Article
  9. Phase synchronization between culture and climate forcing.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Peter Søgaard JørgensenStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Raf E V JansenGlobal Economic Dynamics and the Biosphere Programme, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, SE-104 05 Stockholm, Sweden.
Daniel I Avila OrtegaStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Lan Wang-ErlandssonStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Jonathan F DongesStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Henrik ÖsterblomStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Per OlssonStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Magnus NyströmStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Steven J LadeStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Thomas HahnStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Carl FolkeStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Garry D PetersonStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Anne-Sophie CrépinStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Anthropocene is characterized by accelerating change and global challenges of increasing complexity. Inspired by what some have called a polycrisis, we explore whether the human trajectory of increasing complexity and influence on the Earth system could become a form of trap for humanity. Based on an adaptation of the evolutionary traps concept to a global human context, we present results from a participatory mapping. We identify 14 traps and categorize them as either global, technology or structural traps. An assessment reveals that 12 traps (86%) could be in an advanced phase of trapping with high risk of hard-to-reverse lock-ins and growing risks of negative impacts on human well-being. Ten traps (71%) currently see growing trends in their indicators. Revealing the systemic nature of the polycrisis, we assess that Anthropocene traps often interact reinforcingly (45% of pairwise interactions), and rarely in a dampening fashion (3%). We end by discussing capacities that will be important for navigating these systemic challenges in pursuit of global sustainability. Doing so, we introduce evolvability as a unifying concept for such research between the sustainability and evolutionary sciences. This article is part of the theme issue 'Evolution and sustainability: gathering the strands for an Anthropocene synthesis'.

Indexed as

complex adaptive systemscultural evolutionevolutionary trapsparticipatory mappingsocial–ecological systems

Identifiers

PMID37952617
PMCPMC10645130

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.