Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37948401›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Medical Admission Prediction Score (MAPS); a simple tool to predict medical admissions in the emergency department.

Muhammad Zahid, Adeel Ahmad Khan, Fateen Ata, Zohaib Yousaf, Vamanjore Aboobacker Naushad, Nishan K Purayil, Prem Chandra, Rajvir Singh, Anand Bhaskaran Kartha, Abdelnaser Y Awad Elzouki and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Muhammad ZahidDepartment of Medicine, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Adeel Ahmad KhanDepartment of Endocrinology, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.ORCID 0000-0003-1583-1539
Fateen AtaDepartment of Endocrinology, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.ORCID 0000-0001-7121-8574
Zohaib YousafDepartment of Medicine, Reading Hospital-Tower Health, West Reading, PA, United States of America.
Vamanjore Aboobacker NaushadDepartment of Medicine, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Nishan K PurayilDepartment of Medicine, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Prem ChandraDepartment of Medical Research, Medical Research Center, Academic Health System, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Rajvir SinghDepartment of Medical Research, Medical Research Center, Academic Health System, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Anand Bhaskaran KarthaDepartment of Medicine, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Abdelnaser Y Awad ElzoukiDepartment of Medicine, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Dabia Hamad S H Al MohanadiDepartment of Medicine, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Ahmed Ali A A Al-MohammedDepartment of Medicine, Hamad General Hospital, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionOvercrowding in the emergency departments (ED) is linked to adverse clinical outcomes, a negative impact on patient safety, patient satisfaction, and physician efficiency. We aimed to design a medical admission prediction scoring system based on readily available clinical data during ED presentation.

methodsIn this retrospective cross-sectional study, data on ED presentations and medical admissions were extracted from the Emergency and Internal Medicine departments of a tertiary care facility in Qatar. Primary outcome was medical admission.

resultsOf 320299 ED presentations, 218772 were males (68.3%). A total of 11847 (3.7%) medical admissions occurred. Most patients were Asians (53.7%), followed by Arabs (38.7%). Patients who got admitted were older than those who did not (p <0.001). Admitted patients were predominantly males (56.8%), had a higher number of comorbid conditions and a higher frequency of recent discharge (within the last 30 days) (p <0.001). Age > 60 years, female gender, discharge within the last 30 days, and worse vital signs at presentations were independently associated with higher odds of admission (p<0.001). These factors generated the scoring system with a cut-off of >17, area under the curve (AUC) 0.831 (95% CI 0.827-0.836), and a predictive accuracy of 83.3% (95% CI 83.2-83.4). The model had a sensitivity of 69.1% (95% CI 68.2-69.9), specificity was 83.9% (95% CI 83.7-84.0), positive predictive value (PPV) 14.2% (95% CI 13.8-14.4), negative predictive value (NPV) 98.6% (95% CI 98.5-98.7) and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) 4.28% (95% CI 4.27-4.28).

conclusionMedical admission prediction scoring system can be reliably applied to the regional population to predict medical admissions and may have better generalizability to other parts of the world owing to the diverse patient population in Qatar.

Indexed as

HospitalizationPatient DischargeCross-Sectional StudiesEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID37948401
PMCPMC10637671

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.