Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37947338›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs2023

Black-White disparities in colorectal cancer outcomes: a simulation study of screening benefit.

Carolyn M Rutter, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Christopher E Maerzluft, Folasade P May, Caitlin C Murphy

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Developing an Index to Measure Structural Racism: Methodological Process, Challenges, and Considerations.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
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  8. Recalibrating the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium Environmental Risk Score for Use in US Veterans.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
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  12. Data gaps and opportunities for modeling cancer health equity.Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Carolyn M RutterFred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Division of Public Health Sciences, Hutchinson Institute for Cancer Outcomes Research, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4396-8594
Pedro Nascimento de LimaRAND Corporation, Arlington, VA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9057-198X
Christopher E MaerzluftFred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Division of Public Health Sciences, Hutchinson Institute for Cancer Outcomes Research, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6027-0833
Folasade P MayVatche and Tamar Manoukian Division of Digestive Diseases, Department of Medicine, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Caitlin C MurphyUniversity of Texas Health Science Center at Houston School of Public Health, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9365-0691
Fred Hutch Cancer Center · USKaiser Permanente · USRAND Corporation · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · US

Funding

Comparative Modeling of Effective Policies for Colorectal Cancer ControlU01CA253913 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI RUTTER, CAROLYN M, ZAUBER, ANN GRAHAM · 2020 to 2025
$6.5M
Multilevel health system intervention to increase surveillance colonoscopy for high-risk colorectal polypsR01CA271034 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI Folasade Popoola May · 2022 to 2026
$2.5M
Early life exposures and risk of young-onset colorectal cancerR01CA242558 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI MURPHY, CAITLIN C · 2019 to 2023
$1.5M
Surveillance Colonoscopy in Older Adults: The SurvOlderAdults StudyI01HX003605 · VA · VA SAN DIEGO HEALTHCARE SYSTEM · PI Samir Gupta, Folasade Popoola May · 2023 to 2026
–
HSRD VA I01 HX003605NCI NIH HHS R01 CA242558NCI NIH HHS R01CA242558NCI NIH HHS R01 CA271034NCI NIH HHS U01 CA253913
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The US Black population has higher colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence rates and worse CRC survival than the US White population, as well as historically lower rates of CRC screening. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results incidence rate data in people diagnosed between the ages of 20 and 45 years, before routine CRC screening is recommended, were analyzed to estimate temporal changes in CRC risk in Black and White populations. There was a rapid rise in rectal and distal colon cancer incidence in the White population but not the Black population, and little change in proximal colon cancer incidence for both groups. In 2014-2018, CRC incidence per 100 000 was 17.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 15.3 to 19.9) among Black individuals aged 40-44 years and 16.6 (95% CI = 15.6 to 17.6) among White individuals aged 40-44 years; 42.3% of CRCs diagnosed in Black patients were proximal colon cancer, and 41.1% of CRCs diagnosed in White patients were rectal cancer. Analyses used a race-specific microsimulation model to project screening benefits, based on life-years gained and lifetime reduction in CRC incidence, assuming these Black-White differences in CRC risk and location. The projected benefits of screening (via either colonoscopy or fecal immunochemical testing) were greater in the Black population, suggesting that observed Black-White differences in CRC incidence are not driven by differences in risk. Projected screening benefits were sensitive to survival assumptions made for Black populations. Building racial disparities in survival into the model reduced projected screening benefits, which can bias policy decisions.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsHealthcare DisparitiesHealth Status DisparitiesAdultBlack or African AmericanComputer SimulationEarly Detection of CancerHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedWhiteYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID37947338
PMCPMC10637026
OpenAlexW4388557199

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.