Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37946603›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of preventive cardiology2024

Validation of the European SCORE2 models in a Canadian primary care cohort.

Maneesh Sud, Atul Sivaswamy, Peter C Austin, Husam Abdel-Qadir, Todd J Anderson, Rohan Khera, David M J Naimark, Douglas S Lee, Idan Roifman, George Thanassoulis and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of preventive cardiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. Implications of five different risk models in primary prevention guidelines.European heart journal. Quality of care & clinical outcomes · 2025
    Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Maneesh SudSchulich Heart Program, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, 2075 Bayview Ave, Toronto, M4N 3M5, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-1936-5133
Atul SivaswamyICES, 2075 Bayview Ave, D-410, Toronto, M4N 3M5, Canada.
Peter C AustinInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, 155 College St, Toronto, M5T 3M6, Canada.
Husam Abdel-QadirInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, 155 College St, Toronto, M5T 3M6, Canada.
Todd J AndersonDepartment of Cardiac Sciences, Libin Cardiovascular Institute of Alberta, 3310 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, T2N 4N1, Canada.
Rohan KheraSection of Cardiovascular Medicine, Departmentof Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, 333 Cedar Street, New Haven, CT 06510, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9467-6199
David M J NaimarkInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, 155 College St, Toronto, M5T 3M6, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0621-0637
Douglas S LeeInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, 155 College St, Toronto, M5T 3M6, Canada.
Idan RoifmanSchulich Heart Program, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, 2075 Bayview Ave, Toronto, M4N 3M5, Canada.
George ThanassoulisDepartment of Medicine, McGill University, 3605 Rue de la Montagne, Montréal, H3G 2M1, Canada.
Karen TuInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, 155 College St, Toronto, M5T 3M6, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-0883-4934
Harindra C WijeysunderaSchulich Heart Program, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, 2075 Bayview Ave, Toronto, M4N 3M5, Canada.
Dennis T KoSchulich Heart Program, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, 2075 Bayview Ave, Toronto, M4N 3M5, Canada.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Evaluating and Improving Utilization of Evidence-Based Medical Therapy in Patients with Heart Failure using Automated Tools in the Electronic Health RecordK23HL153775 · NHLBI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI KHERA, ROHAN · 2021 to 2025
$918k
CIHR FDN 154333NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL153775
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsSystematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Model 2 (SCORE2) was recently developed to predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in Europe. Whether these models could be used outside of Europe is not known. The objective of this study was to test the validity of SCORE2 in a large Canadian cohort. METHODS AND

resultsA primary care cohort of persons with routinely collected electronic medical record data from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2014, in Ontario, Canada, was used for validation. The SCORE2 models for younger persons (YP) were applied to 57 409 individuals aged 40-69 while the models for older persons (OPs) were applied to 9885 individuals 70-89 years of age. Five-year ASCVD predictions from both the uncalibrated and low-risk region recalibrated SCORE2 models were evaluated. The C-statistic for SCORE2-YP was 0.74 in women and 0.69 in men. The uncalibrated SCORE2-YP overestimated risk by 17% in women and underestimated by 2% in men. In contrast, the low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated worse calibration, overestimating risk by 100% in women and 36% in men. The C-statistic for SCORE2-OP was 0.64 and 0.62 in older women and men, respectively. The uncalibrated SCORE2-OP overestimated risk by more than 100% in both sexes. The low-risk region recalibrated model demonstrated improved calibration but still overestimated risk by 60% in women and 13% in men.

conclusionThe performance of SCORE2 to predict ASCVD risk in Canada varied by age group and depended on whether regional calibration was applied. This underscores the necessity for validation assessment of SCORE2 prior to implementation in new jurisdictions.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleOntarioPrimary Health CareRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAtherosclerotic cardiovascular diseaseMyocardial infarctionPrimary preventionRisk predictionSCORE2StatinsStroke

Identifiers

PMID37946603
PMCPMC11025037

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.