Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37940155›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2023

Evaluating the performance of artificial intelligence software for lung nodule detection on chest radiographs in a retrospective real-world UK population.

Ahmed Maiter, Katherine Hocking, Suzanne Matthews, Jonathan Taylor, Michael Sharkey, Peter Metherall, Samer Alabed, Krit Dwivedi, Yousef Shahin, Elizabeth Anderson and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ahmed MaiterSchool of Medicine and Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4999-2608
Katherine HockingRadiology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Suzanne MatthewsRadiology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Jonathan TaylorMedical Imaging and Medical Physics, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Michael SharkeyMedical Imaging and Medical Physics, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Peter MetherallMedical Imaging and Medical Physics, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Samer AlabedSchool of Medicine and Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Krit DwivediSchool of Medicine and Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Yousef ShahinSchool of Medicine and Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Elizabeth AndersonRadiology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Sarah HoltRadiology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Charlotte RowbothamRadiology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Mohamed A KamilRadiology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Nigel HoggardSchool of Medicine and Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Saba P BalasubramanianMedical Imaging and Medical Physics, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Andrew SwiftSchool of Medicine and Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Christopher S JohnsRadiology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK christopher.johns@nhs.net.ORCID 0000-0003-3724-0430
Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GB

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 203914/Z/16/Wellcome Trust 205188/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 222930/Z/21/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesEarly identification of lung cancer on chest radiographs improves patient outcomes. Artificial intelligence (AI) tools may increase diagnostic accuracy and streamline this pathway. This study evaluated the performance of commercially available AI-based software trained to identify cancerous lung nodules on chest radiographs.

designThis retrospective study included primary care chest radiographs acquired in a UK centre. The software evaluated each radiograph independently and outputs were compared with two reference standards: (1) the radiologist report and (2) the diagnosis of cancer by multidisciplinary team decision. Failure analysis was performed by interrogating the software marker locations on radiographs.

participants5722 consecutive chest radiographs were included from 5592 patients (median age 59 years, 53.8% women, 1.6% prevalence of cancer).

resultsCompared with radiologist reports for nodule detection, the software demonstrated sensitivity 54.5% (95% CI 44.2% to 64.4%), specificity 83.2% (82.2% to 84.1%), positive predictive value (PPV) 5.5% (4.6% to 6.6%) and negative predictive value (NPV) 99.0% (98.8% to 99.2%). Compared with cancer diagnosis, the software demonstrated sensitivity 60.9% (50.1% to 70.9%), specificity 83.3% (82.3% to 84.2%), PPV 5.6% (4.8% to 6.6%) and NPV 99.2% (99.0% to 99.4%). Normal or variant anatomy was misidentified as an abnormality in 69.9% of the 943 false positive cases.

conclusionsThe software demonstrated considerable underperformance in this real-world patient cohort. Failure analysis suggested a lack of generalisability in the training and testing datasets as a potential factor. The low PPV carries the risk of over-investigation and limits the translation of the software to clinical practice. Our findings highlight the importance of training and testing software in representative datasets, with broader implications for the implementation of AI tools in imaging.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsPrecancerous ConditionsArtificial IntelligenceFemaleHumansLungMaleMiddle AgedRadiography, ThoracicRetrospective StudiesSensitivity and SpecificitySoftwareUnited Kingdomchest imagingdiagnostic imagingdiagnostic radiology

Identifiers

PMID37940155
PMCPMC10632826
OpenAlexW4388500630

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.