ArticlemBio2023
Seasonality of endemic COVID-19.
Article in mBio, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
42 citing papers in PubMed.
- Safety and immunogenicity of an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine administered to adults: A phase 2, randomized, active-controlled trial.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026Trial
- Seasonal human coronavirus humoral responses in AZD1222 (ChaAdOx1 nCoV-19) COVID-19 vaccinated adults reveal limited cross-immunity.Frontiers in immunology · 2024Trial
- Sociodemographic and Health-Risk Determinants of COVID-19 Vaccine Booster Preferences and Willingness to Pay in Singapore: Discrete Choice Experiment.Interactive journal of medical research · 2026Article
- Engineering Komagataella phaffii for secreted and surface-displayed production of SARS-CoV-2 receptor-binding domain and its immunogenicity evaluation.Microbial cell factories · 2026Article
- CV19global: harmonized epidemiology, policy, mobility and weather indicators from two years and 54 countries.Scientific data · 2026Article
- Cross-neutralizing antibody responses among individuals with or without bivalent vaccine: a six-month prospective cohort study.The Korean journal of internal medicine · 2026Article
- Seasonal forcing and waning immunity drive the sub-annual periodicity of the COVID-19 epidemic.PLoS pathogens · 2026Article
- Winter all year round in urgent and emergency care: a large retrospective analysis of routinely collected NHS data across England, 2021-2022.BMC health services research · 2026Observational
- Mutations to the HCoV-229E spike have counterbalancing effects on serum antibody neutralization and receptor binding.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Structure-Based Design of Covalent SARS-CoV‑2 Main Protease Inhibitors Targeting the Nirmatrelvir-Resistant E166 Mutants.JACS Au · 2026Article
- Understanding capability, opportunity, and motivation for at-home COVID-19 testing in underserved populations during the pandemic.Translational behavioral medicine · 2026Article
- Respiratory virus dynamics in a tropical region: Insights from Yucatán, México (2018-2024).Epidemiology and infection · 2026Article
- Peripheral blood cytokines during early and post-acute stages of SARS-CoV-2 infection are associated with disease severity and long-term symptoms.Frontiers in immunology · 2026Article
- Cryptic Circulation and Co-Infections of Endemic Human Coronaviruses During the First Years of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Brazil.Advances in respiratory medicine · 2025Article
- From zoonotic spillover to endemicity: the broad determinants of human coronavirus tropism.mBio · 2025Review
- On campus dormitories as viral transmission sinks: Phylodynamic insights into student housing networks during the COVID-19 pandemic.PLoS pathogens · 2025Article
- Unmasking Risk Factors for Post-COVID-19 Olfactory Dysfunction Resulting From Early Stages of the Pandemic: A Case-Control Study of Lost and Lingering Smells.The Permanente journal · 2025Article
- Inequities in Forgone Medical Care and Health Insurance in a Key Geopolitical Area Along the US-Mexico Border.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Determinants of respiratory syncytial virus and human metapneumovirus transmission.Clinical microbiology reviews · 2025Review
- Negotiating cohabitation in a Nigerian abattoir: One Health perspectives of human-animal-ecosystem interactions examined in the light of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.One health outlook · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
importanceThe seasonality of COVID-19 is important for effective healthcare and public health decision-making. Previous waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections have indicated that the virus will likely persist as an endemic pathogen with distinct surges. However, the timing and patterns of potentially seasonal surges remain uncertain, rendering effective public health policies uninformed and in danger of poorly anticipating opportunities for intervention, such as well-timed booster vaccination drives. Applying an evolutionary approach to long-term data on closely related circulating coronaviruses, our research provides projections of seasonal surges that should be expected at major temperate population centers. These projections enable local public health efforts that are tailored to expected surges at specific locales or regions. This knowledge is crucial for enhancing medical preparedness and facilitating the implementation of targeted public health interventions.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.