Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37935573›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology and community health2023

Social security cuts and life expectancy: a longitudinal analysis of local authorities in England, Scotland and Wales.

Rosie Seaman, David Walsh, Christina Beatty, Gerry McCartney, Ruth Dundas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Rosie SeamanMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK rosie.seaman@glasgow.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1400-4048
David WalshGlasgow Centre for Population Health, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3390-5039
Christina BeattyCentre for Regional Economic and Social Research, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0943-9979
Gerry McCartneySchool of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6341-3521
Ruth DundasMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3836-4286

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe UK Government's 'welfare reform' programme included reductions to social security payments, phased in over the financial years 2011/2012-2015/2016. Previous studies of social security cuts and health outcomes have been restricted to analysing single UK countries or single payment types (eg, housing benefit). We examined the association between all social security cuts fully implemented by 2016 and life expectancy, for local authorities in England, Scotland and Wales.

methodsOur unit of analysis was 201 upper tier local authorities (unitary authorities and county councils: 147 in England, 32 in Scotland, 22 in Wales). Our exposure was estimated social security loss per head of the working age population per year for each local authority, calculated against the baseline in 2010/2011. The primary outcome was annual life expectancy at birth between the calendar years 2012 and 2016 (year lagged following exposure). We used a panel regression approach with fixed effects.

resultsSocial security cuts implemented by 2016 were estimated to be £475 per head of the working age population in England, £390 in Scotland and £490 in Wales since 2010/2011. During the study period, there was either no improvement or only marginal increases in national life expectancy. Social security loss and life expectancy were significantly associated: an estimated £100 decrease in social security per head of working age population was associated with a 1-month reduction in life expectancy.

conclusionsSocial security cuts, at the UK local authority level, were associated with lower life expectancy. Further research should examine causality.

Indexed as

deathhealth inequalitiesmortality

Identifiers

PMID37935573
PMCPMC10850624

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.