Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37933116›Full record

ArticleKidney research and clinical practice2025

Association of systolic blood pressure with incident chronic kidney disease estimated by marginal structural model: a nationwide population-based study.

Hyunsun Lim, Youn Nam Kim, Tae Ik Chang, Jae Young Kim

Open access · diamondAbstract read
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Article in Kidney research and clinical practice, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Hyunsun LimDepartment of Research and Analysis, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, Republic of Korea.
Youn Nam KimGraduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Tae Ik ChangDepartment of Internal Medicine, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, Republic of Korea.
Jae Young KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital · KRYonsei University · KR

Funding

National Health Insurance Service Islan Hospital NHIMC 2019-20-012
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe aimed to investigate the association between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and risk of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) using marginal structural model (MSM) to reflect mutual effects of exposure and confounders on the outcome.

methodsA total of 195,970 adults with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of >60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and no proteinuria were included from a nationally representative sample cohort of Korean population. SBPs were measured through national health examinations. Primary outcome was incident CKD, defined as a composite of events of a decrease in eGFR to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or a newly developed proteinuria for at least two consecutive measurements. The association between SBP and risk of CKD was examined using Cox model, time-dependent Cox model, and MSM.

resultsDuring a follow-up of 5 years, CKD occurred in 3,355 participants (1.7%). With SBP treated as a continuous variable, each 10-mmHg increment was associated with higher risk for incident CKD, regardless of analytical models used. Compared to SBP group of 120-129 mmHg, hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for incident CKD for SBP groups of <110, 110-119, 130-139, and ≥140 mmHg in MSM were 0.70 (0.62-0.80), 0.85 (0.77-0.95), 1.16 (1.05-1.27), and 1.63 (1.47-1.80), respectively.

conclusionIn this nationwide study, we found a significant relationship between higher SBP and higher risk of incident CKD. Further studies are warranted to verify the potential significance of high SBP as a preventable risk factor for the development of CKD in those with preserved renal function.

Indexed as

Blood pressureChronic renal insufficiencyProportional hazards modelsStatistical models

Identifiers

PMID37933116
PMCPMC12066326
OpenAlexW4388462409

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.