Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37932799›Full record

ArticleItalian journal of pediatrics2023

Prediction nomogram for coronary artery aneurysms at one month in Kawasaki disease.

Yunjia Tang, Chuxin Ding, Qiuqin Xu, Wanping Zhou, Yiming Qin, Meihua Lu, Haitao Lv

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Italian journal of pediatrics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Yunjia TangDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, No 92, Zhongnan Street, Suzhou, People's Republic of China.
Chuxin DingDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, No 92, Zhongnan Street, Suzhou, People's Republic of China.
Qiuqin XuDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, No 92, Zhongnan Street, Suzhou, People's Republic of China.
Wanping ZhouDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, No 92, Zhongnan Street, Suzhou, People's Republic of China.
Yiming QinDepartment of Pediatrics, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, No 6, Huanghe Road, Changshu, People's Republic of China.
Meihua LuDepartment of Pediatrics, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, No 6, Huanghe Road, Changshu, People's Republic of China. 13962484863@163.com.
Haitao LvDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, No 92, Zhongnan Street, Suzhou, People's Republic of China. haitaoszzz@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3375-1340
Soochow University · CNNanjing University of Chinese Medicine · CN

Funding

Gusu health personnel training project GSWS2020054Gusu health personnel training project GSWS2022056Gusu health personnel training project GSWS2022059National Natural Science Foundation of China 81700439National Natural Science Foundation of China 82070512Suzhou Science and Technology Development Plan Project SS202066
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCoronary status at one month after Kawasaki disease (KD) onset had a great significance. The present study aimed to establish a prediction model for coronary artery aneurysms (CAA) at one month in children with KD.

methodsPatients with a diagnosis of KD between May 2017 and Dec 2018 were enrolled as the development cohort to build a prediction model. The model was validated by internal and external validation. Patients between Jan 2019 and Dec 2019 were enrolled as the validation cohort. The adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to select the possible predictors. Receiving operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the performance of the model. The performance of the Son score was also assessed.

resultsLASSO regression demonstrated that age, sex, and CALs in the acute stage were predictors for CAA at one month. The area under the ROC (AUC) was 0.946 (95% confidence interval: 0.911-0.980) with a sensitivity of 92.5% and a specificity of 90.5%. The calibration curve and the DCA showed a favorable diagnostic performance. The internal and external validation proved the reliability of the prediction model. The AUC of our model and the Son score were 0.941 and 0.860, respectively (P < 0.001).

conclusionOur prediction model for CAA at one month after disease onset in KD had an excellent predictive utility.

Indexed as

AneurysmMucocutaneous Lymph Node SyndromeChildCoronary VesselsHumansNomogramsReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesCoronary artery aneurysmsCoronary artery lesionsMucocutaneous lymph node syndromePrediction model

Identifiers

PMID37932799
PMCPMC10629107
OpenAlexW4388422744

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.