ArticleNature communications2023
30×30 biodiversity gains rely on national coordination.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 14 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Robust estimates of biodiversity change require high-resolution time series.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Conservation Biogeography: The Paradigm Shift Needed to Reform the Conservation Spatial Planning Sector.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Safeguarding climate-resilient mangroves requires only a moderate increase in the global protected area.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Expanding Protected Areas to Safeguard Kenya's Herpetofauna Under Climate Change.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Unlocking Tropical Forest Complexity: How Tree Assemblages in Secondary Forests Boost Biodiversity Conservation.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Upscaling effects on infectious disease emergence risk emphasize the need for local planning in primary prevention within biodiversity hotspots.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Modeling nature-based restoration potential across aquatic-terrestrial boundaries.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025Article
- Reconciling opposite conclusions in umbrella species evaluation.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025Article
- Contribution of Protected Area Networks to Achieving Global Biodiversity Framework Targets and Sustainable Development Goals: Evidence From Coastal Shandong, China.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Meeting European Union biodiversity targets under future land-use demands.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
- Expanding protected area coverage for migratory birds could improve long-term population trends.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Article
- Herbarium collections remain essential in the age of community science.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Global expansion of marine protected areas and the redistribution of fishing effort.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Global commitments to protect 30% of land by 2030 present an opportunity to combat the biodiversity crisis, but reducing extinction risk will depend on where countries expand protection. Here, we explore a range of 30×30 conservation scenarios that vary what dimension of biodiversity is prioritized (taxonomic groups, species-at-risk, biodiversity facets) and how protection is coordinated (transnational, national, or regional approaches) to test which decisions influence our ability to capture biodiversity in spatial planning. Using Canada as a model nation, we evaluate how well each scenario captures biodiversity using scalable indicators while accounting for climate change, data bias, and uncertainty. We find that only 15% of all terrestrial vertebrates, plants, and butterflies (representing only 6.6% of species-at-risk) are adequately represented in existing protected land. However, a nationally coordinated approach to 30×30 could protect 65% of all species representing 40% of all species-at-risk. How protection is coordinated has the largest impact, with regional approaches protecting up to 38% fewer species and 65% fewer species-at-risk, while the choice of biodiversity incurs much smaller trade-offs. These results demonstrate the potential of 30×30 while highlighting the critical importance of biodiversity-informed national strategies.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.