Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37931940›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2023

Health and economic effects of introducing single-dose or two-dose human papillomavirus vaccination in India.

Tiago M de Carvalho, Irene Man, Damien Georges, Lopamudra Ray Saraswati, Prince Bhandari, Ishu Kataria, Mariam Siddiqui, Richard Muwonge, Eric Lucas, Rengaswamy Sankaranarayanan and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Single-dose human papillomavirus vaccination: an update.Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Tiago M de CarvalhoDepartment of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam UMC VUMC Site, Amsterdam, The Netherlands tm.decarvalho@amsterdamumc.nl.ORCID 0000-0001-8232-9210
Irene ManEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Damien GeorgesEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Lopamudra Ray SaraswatiResearch Triangle Institute (RTI) International India, New Delhi, India.
Prince BhandariResearch Triangle Institute (RTI) International India, New Delhi, India.
Ishu KatariaResearch Triangle Institute (RTI) International India, New Delhi, India.
Mariam SiddiquiResearch Triangle Institute (RTI) International India, New Delhi, India.
Richard MuwongeEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Eric LucasEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Rengaswamy SankaranarayananKarkinos Healthcare, Ernakulam, India.
Partha BasuEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Johannes BerkhofDepartment of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam UMC VUMC Site, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Johannes A BogaardsDepartment of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam UMC VUMC Site, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Iacopo BaussanoEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Centre international de recherche sur le cancer · FRAmsterdam University Medical Centers · NLGeneral Hospital Ernakulam · IN

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCervical cancer is a major public health problem in India, where access to prevention programmes is low. The WHO-Strategic Advisory Group of Experts recently updated their recommendation for human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination to include a single-dose option in addition to the two-dose option, which could make HPV vaccination programmes easier to implement and more affordable.

methodsWe combined projections from a type-specific HPV transmission model and a cancer progression model to assess the health and economic effects of HPV vaccination at national and state level in India. The models used national and state-specific Indian demographic, epidemiological and cost data, and single-dose vaccine efficacy and immunogenicity data from the International Agency for Research on Cancer India vaccine trial with 10-year follow-up. We compared single-dose and two-dose HPV vaccination for a range of plausible scenarios regarding single-dose vaccine protection, coverage and catch-up. We used a healthcare sector payer perspective with a time horizon of 100 years.

resultsUnder the base-case scenario of lifelong protection of single-dose vaccination in 10-year-old girls with 90% coverage, the discounted incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of nationwide vaccination relative to no vaccination was US$406 (₹INR30 000) per DALY (disability-adjusted life-years) averted. This lay below an opportunity-cost-based threshold of 30% Indian gross domestic product per capita in each Indian state (state-specific ICER range: US$67-US$593 per DALY averted). The ICER of two-dose vaccination versus no vaccination vaccination was US$1404 (₹INR104 000). The ICER of two-dose vaccination versus single-dose vaccination, assuming lower initial efficacy and waning of single-dose vaccination, was at least US$2282 (₹INR169 000) per DALY averted.

conclusionsNationwide introduction of single-dose HPV vaccination at age 10 in India is highly likely to be cost-effective whereas extending the number of doses from one to two would have a less favourable profile.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsChildCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansVaccinationPapillomavirus VaccinesCancerHealth economicsVaccines

Identifiers

PMID37931940
PMCPMC10632817
OpenAlexW4388425224

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.