Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37919289›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Distinct receptor binding domain IgG thresholds predict protective host immunity across SARS-CoV-2 variants and time.

Grace Kenny, Sophie O'Reilly, Neil Wrigley Kelly, Riya Negi, Colette Gaillard, Dana Alalwan, Gurvin Saini, Tamara Alrawahneh, Nathan Francois, Matthew Angeliadis and 21 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors.

Grace Kenny *Centre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland. grace.kenny1@ucd.ie.ORCID 0000-0002-9646-7910
Sophie O'Reilly *Centre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0001-5546-7984
Neil Wrigley KellySt Vincent's University Hospital, Elm Park, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Riya NegiCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Colette GaillardCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0002-7064-2530
Dana AlalwanCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Gurvin SainiCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Tamara AlrawahnehCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Nathan FrancoisCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Matthew AngeliadisCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Alejandro Abner Garcia LeonCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Willard TinagoCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Eoin R FeeneyCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Aoife G CotterCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Eoghan de BarraDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Beaumont Hospital, Beaumont, Dublin 9, Ireland.
Obada YousifEndocrinology Department, Wexford General Hospital, Carricklawn, Wexford, Ireland.
Mary HorganDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Cork University Hospital, Wilton, Co Cork, Ireland.
Peter DoranSchool of Medicine, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Jannik StemlerUniversity of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department of Internal Medicine and University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine Institute of Translational Research, Cologne Excellence Cluster on Cellular Stress Responses in Aging-Associated Diseases (CECAD), Cologne, Germany.
Philipp KoehlerUniversity of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department of Internal Medicine and University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine Institute of Translational Research, Cologne Excellence Cluster on Cellular Stress Responses in Aging-Associated Diseases (CECAD), Cologne, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7386-7495
Rebecca Jane CoxInfluenza Centre, Department of Clinical Science, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-8341-4078
Donal O'SheaSt Vincent's University Hospital, Elm Park, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Ole F OlesenEuropean Vaccine Initiative, Heidelberg, Germany.
Alan LandayDepartment of internal Medicine, Rush University, Chicago, IL, USA.
Andrew E HoganKathleen Lonsdale Institute for Human Health Research, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Co Kildare, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0001-5875-230X
Jean-Daniel LelievreVaccine Research Institute, Université Paris Est Créteil, Paris, France.
Virginie GautierCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
Oliver A CornelyUniversity of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, Department of Internal Medicine and University of Cologne, Faculty of Medicine Institute of Translational Research, Cologne Excellence Cluster on Cellular Stress Responses in Aging-Associated Diseases (CECAD), Cologne, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9599-3137
Patrick W G MallonCentre for Experimental Pathogen Host Research (CEPHR), University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland.
All Ireland Infectious Diseases Cohort Study
VACCELERATE Consortium EU-COVAT-1-AGED Part A Study Group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 neutralising antibodies provide protection against COVID-19. Evidence from early vaccine trials suggested binding antibody thresholds could serve as surrogate markers of neutralising capacity, but whether these thresholds predict sufficient neutralising capacity against variants of concern (VOCs), and whether this is impacted by vaccine or infection history remains unclear. Here we analyse individuals recovered from, vaccinated or with hybrid immunity against SARS-CoV-2. An NT50 ≥ 100 IU confers protection in vaccine trials, however, as VOC induce a reduction in NT50, we use NT50 ≥ 1000 IU as a cut off for WT NT50 that would retain neutralisation against VOC. In unvaccinated convalescent participants, a receptor binding domain (RBD) IgG of 456 BAU/mL predicts an NT50 against WT of 1000 IU with an accuracy of 80% (95%CI 73-86%). This threshold maintains accuracy in determining loss of protective immunity against VOC in two vaccinated cohorts. It predicts an NT50 < 100 IU against Beta with an accuracy of 80% (95%CI 67-89%) in 2 vaccine dose recipients. In booster vaccine recipients with a history of COVID-19 (hybrid immunity), accuracy is 87% (95%CI 77-94%) in determining an NT50 of <100 IU against BA.5. This analysis provides a discrete threshold that could be used in future clinical studies.

Indexed as

COVID-19VaccinesAntibodies, NeutralizingAntibodies, ViralHumansImmunoglobulin GSARS-CoV-2Antibodies, NeutralizingAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin GVaccines

Identifiers

PMID37919289
PMCPMC10622572

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.