Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37914796›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Early-career factors largely determine the future impact of prominent researchers: evidence across eight scientific fields.

Alexander Krauss, Lluís Danús, Marta Sales-Pardo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
16.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. The Trials and Aspirations of an Early Career Researcher Advisory Board.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Postdoc publications and citations link to academic retention and faculty success.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Alexander KraussLondon School of Economics, London, UK. a.krauss@lse.ac.uk.
Lluís DanúsDepartment of Chemical Engineering, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain.
Marta Sales-PardoDepartment of Chemical Engineering, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Tarragona, Spain. marta.sales@urv.cat.
Universidad Rovira i Virgili · ESLondon School of Economics and Political Science · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Can we help predict the future impact of researchers using early-career factors? We analyze early-career factors of the world's 100 most prominent researchers across 8 scientific fields and identify four key drivers in researchers' initial career: working at a top 25 ranked university, publishing a paper in a top 5 ranked journal, publishing most papers in top quartile (high-impact) journals and co-authoring with other prominent researchers in their field. We find that over 95% of prominent researchers across multiple fields had at least one of these four features in the first 5 years of their career. We find that the most prominent scientists who had an early career advantage in terms of citations and h-index are more likely to have had all four features, and that this advantage persists throughout their career after 10, 15 and 20 years. Our findings show that these few early-career factors help predict researchers' impact later in their careers. Our research thus points to the need to enhance fairness and career mobility among scientists who have not had a jump start early on.

Indexed as

PublishingResearch PersonnelHumansUniversities

Identifiers

PMID37914796
PMCPMC10620415
OpenAlexW4388129970

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.