Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37907646›Full record

ArticleNeurosurgical review2023

A nomogram for predicting the risk of major postoperative complications for patients with meningioma.

Zheng-Qian Guo, Xiao-Yu Xia, Dan Cao, Xu Chen, Yue He, Bao-Feng Wang, Dong-Sheng Guo, Jian Chen

Erratum issuedAbstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Neurosurgical review, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Zheng-Qian GuoDepartment of Neurosurgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Xiao-Yu XiaDepartment of Psychology, Wuchang Hospital, Wuhan, China.
Dan CaoDepartment of Neurocritical Care Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, China.
Xu ChenDepartment of Neurosurgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Yue HeDepartment of Neurosurgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Bao-Feng WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. wbf620@163.com.
Dong-Sheng GuoDepartment of Neurosurgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. tjguodongsheng@163.com.
Jian ChenDepartment of Neurosurgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China. husttjchen110@163.com.
Huazhong University of Science and Technology · CNTongji Hospital · CNUniversity of Science and Technology of China · CNWuchang University of Technology · CN

Funding

the Natural Science Foundation of Tongji Hospital No. 2020JZKT420
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo identify risk factors for major postoperative complications in meningioma patients and to construct and validate a nomogram that identify patients at high risk of these complications.

methodsThe medical records of meningioma patients who underwent surgical resection in our hospital from January 2018 to December 2020 were collected. The patients were divided into a training set (815 cases from the main campus in 2018 and 2019) and a validation set (300 cases from two other campuses in 2020). Major postoperative complications were defined as any new neurological deficits and complications classified as Clavien-Dindo Grading (CDG) II or higher. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted using the training set to identify independent risk factors. A nomogram was constructed based on these results. And then validated the nomogram through bootstrap re-sampling in both the training and validation sets. The concordance index (C-index) and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to assess the discriminative ability of the nomogram. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was performed to evaluate the goodness-of-fit. The optimal cutoff point for the nomogram was calculated using Youden's index.

resultsIn the training set, 135 cases (16.56%) experienced major postoperative complications. The independent risk factors identified were male sex, recurrent tumors, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class III-IV, preoperative Karnofsky Performance Scale (KPS) score < 80, preoperative serum albumin < 35 g/L, tumor in the skull base or central sulcus area, subtotal tumor resection (STR), allogeneic blood transfusion, and larger tumor size. A nomogram was constructed based on these risk factors. It demonstrated good predictive performance, with a C-index of 0.919 for the training set and 0.872 for the validation set. The area under the curve (AUC) > 0.7 indicated satisfactory discriminative ability. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed no significant deviation from the predicted probabilities. And the cutoff for nomogram total points was about 200 (specificity 0.881 and sensitivity 0.834).

conclusionsThe constructed nomogram demonstrated robust predictive performance for major postoperative complications in meningioma patients. This model can be used by surgeons as a reference in clinical decision-making.

Indexed as

Meningeal NeoplasmsMeningiomaFemaleHumansMaleNomogramsPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsMajor postoperative complicationsMeningiomaNomogramPrediction modelRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID37907646
OpenAlexW4388037265

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.