Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37903759›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Increasing atmospheric dryness reduces boreal forest tree growth.

Ariane Mirabel, Martin P Girardin, Juha Metsaranta, Danielle Way, Peter B Reich

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
12.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 76 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Increasing risk of vapor pressure deficit exceeding critical thresholds for tree growth.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  11. Permafrost instability negates the positive impact of warming temperatures on boreal radial growth.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Ariane MirabelDepartment of Biology, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada. Ariane.mirabel@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-7081-9922
Martin P GirardinNatural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Laurentian Forestry Centre, Quebec City, QC, Canada. martin.girardin@canada.ca.ORCID 0000-0003-0436-7486
Juha MetsarantaNatural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Danielle WayDepartment of Biology, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4801-5319
Peter B ReichDepartment of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, 55108, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4424-662X
Australian National University · AUCanadian Forest Service · CANatural Resources Canada · CAUniversity of Minnesota · USWestern University · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rising atmospheric vapour pressure deficit (VPD) associated with climate change affects boreal forest growth via stomatal closure and soil dryness. However, the relationship between VPD and forest growth depends on the climatic context. Here we assess Canadian boreal forest responses to VPD changes from 1951-2018 using a well-replicated tree-growth increment network with approximately 5,000 species-site combinations. Of the 3,559 successful growth models, we observed a relationship between growth and concurrent summer VPD in one-third of the species-site combinations, and between growth and prior summer VPD in almost half of those combinations. The relationship between previous year VPD and current year growth was almost exclusively negative, while current year VPD also tended to reduce growth. Tree species, age, annual temperature, and soil moisture primarily determined tree VPD responses. Younger trees and species like white spruce and Douglas fir exhibited higher VPD sensitivity, as did areas with high annual temperature and low soil moisture. Since 1951, summer VPD increases in Canada have paralleled tree growth decreases, particularly in spruce species. Accelerating atmospheric dryness in the decades ahead will impair carbon storage and societal-economic services.

Indexed as

PiceaTreesCanadaForestsSoilTaigaSoil

Identifiers

PMID37903759
PMCPMC10616230
OpenAlexW4388035507

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.