Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37903256›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Amazon deforestation causes strong regional warming.

Edward W Butt, Jessica C A Baker, Francisco G Silva Bezerra, Celso von Randow, Ana P D Aguiar, Dominick V Spracklen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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  13. Amazon deforestation implications in local/regional climate change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Edward W ButtInstitute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6087-4848
Jessica C A BakerInstitute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, United Kingdom.
Francisco G Silva BezerraINPE - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, São José dos Campos 12227-010, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-9635-0336
Celso von RandowINPE - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, São José dos Campos 12227-010, Brazil.
Ana P D AguiarINPE - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, São José dos Campos 12227-010, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-0683-1142
Dominick V SpracklenInstitute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7551-4597

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tropical deforestation impacts the climate through complex land-atmosphere interactions causing local and regional warming. However, whilst the impacts of deforestation on local temperature are well understood, the regional (nonlocal) response is poorly quantified. Here, we used remote-sensed observations of forest loss and dry season land-surface temperature during the period 2001 to 2020 to demonstrate that deforestation of the Amazon caused strong warming at distances up to 100 km away from the forest loss. We apply a machine learning approach to show nonlocal warming due to forest loss at 2-100 km length scales increases the warming due to deforestation by more than a factor 4, from 0.16 K to 0.71 K for each 10-percentage points of forest loss. We estimate that rapid future deforestation under a strong inequality scenario could cause dry season warming of 0.96 K across Mato Grosso state in southern Brazil over the period 2020 to 2050. Reducing deforestation could reduce future warming caused by forest loss to 0.4 K. Our results demonstrate the contribution of tropical deforestation to regional climate warming and the potential for reduced deforestation to deliver regional climate adaptation and resilience with important implications for sustainable management of the Amazon.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesTreesBrazilClimateForestsSeasonsclimatedeforestationtemperature

Identifiers

PMID37903256
PMCPMC10636322

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.