ArticleKidney diseases (Basel, Switzerland)2023
Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Renal Survival Prediction in Patients with Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease.
Article in Kidney diseases (Basel, Switzerland), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Attribute-based cross-classification reveals sex- and age-specific prognostic impact of anemia in ADPKD.Clinical and experimental nephrology · 2026Article
- Association of anemia with long-term renal prognosis in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease using time-series analysis.Scientific reports · 2026Article
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10 authors.
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Abstract
Introduction: Due to the wide variation in the prognosis of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD), prediction of risk of renal survival in ADPKD patients is a tough challenge. We aimed to establish a nomogram for the prediction of renal survival in ADPKD patients. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study in 263 patients with ADPKD. The patients were randomly assigned to a training set ( Results: The five independent factors used to construct the nomogram for prognosis prediction were age, htTKV, estimated glomerular filtration rate, hypertension, and hemoglobin. The calibration curve of predicted probabilities against observed renal survival indicated excellent concordance. The model showed very good discrimination with a C-index of 0.91 (0.83-0.99) and an area under the curve of 0.94, which were significantly higher than those of the htTKV model. Similarly, DCA demonstrated that the nomogram had a better net benefit than the htTKV model. Conclusion: The risk prediction nomogram, incorporating easily assessable clinical parameters, was effective for the prediction of renal survival in ADPKD patients. It can be a useful clinical adjunct for clinicians to evaluate the prognosis of ADPKD patients and provide individualized decision-making.
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