Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37891423›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Development of machine learning prognostic models for overall survival of prostate cancer patients with lymph node-positive.

Zi-He Peng, Juan-Hua Tian, Bo-Hong Chen, Hai-Bin Zhou, Hang Bi, Min-Xin He, Ming-Rui Li, Xin-Yu Zheng, Ya-Wen Wang, Tie Chong and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Zi-He PengDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Juan-Hua TianDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Bo-Hong ChenDepartment of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Hai-Bin ZhouDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Hang BiDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Min-Xin HeDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Ming-Rui LiDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Xin-Yu ZhengDepartment of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Ya-Wen WangHealth Science Center, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.
Tie ChongDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China. chongtie@126.com.
Zhao-Lun LiDepartment of Urology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China. oliverlee0615@163.com.
Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University · CNXi'an Jiaotong University · CNFirst Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prostate cancer (PCa) patients with lymph node involvement (LNI) constitute a single-risk group with varied prognoses. Existing studies on this group have focused solely on those who underwent prostatectomy (RP), using statistical models to predict prognosis. This study aimed to develop an easily accessible individual survival prediction tool based on multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict survival probability for PCa patients with LNI. A total of 3280 PCa patients with LNI were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, covering the years 2000-2019. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Gradient Boosting Survival Analysis (GBSA), Random Survival Forest (RSF), and Extra Survival Trees (EST) were used to develop prognosis models, which were compared to Cox regression. Discrimination was evaluated using the time-dependent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC) and the concordance index (c-index). Calibration was assessed using the time-dependent Brier score (time-dependent BS) and the integrated Brier score (IBS). Moreover, the beeswarm summary plot in SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) was used to display the contribution of variables to the results. The 3280 patients were randomly split into a training cohort (n = 2624) and a validation cohort (n = 656). Nine variables including age at diagnosis, race, marital status, clinical T stage, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level at diagnosis, Gleason Score (GS), number of positive lymph nodes, radical prostatectomy (RP), and radiotherapy (RT) were used to develop models. The mean time-dependent AUC for GBSA, RSF, and EST was 0.782 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.779-0.783), 0.779 (95% CI 0.776-0.780), and 0.781 (95% CI 0.778-0.782), respectively, which were higher than the Cox regression model of 0.770 (95% CI 0.769-0.773). Additionally, all models demonstrated almost similar calibration, with low IBS. A web-based prediction tool was developed using the best-performing GBSA, which is accessible at https://pengzihexjtu-pca-n1.streamlit.app/ . ML algorithms showed better performance compared with Cox regression and we developed a web-based tool, which may help to guide patient treatment and follow-up.

Indexed as

Lymph Node ExcisionProstatic NeoplasmsHumansLymph NodesMalePrognosisProstate-Specific AntigenProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID37891423
PMCPMC10611782
OpenAlexW4387972605

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.