Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37888630›Full record

ArticleToxins2023

Effects of Climate Change on Areas Suitable for Maize Cultivation and Aflatoxin Contamination in Europe.

Marlous Focker, Michiel van Eupen, Peter Verweij, Cheng Liu, Charlotte van Haren, H J van der Fels-Klerx

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Toxins, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Article
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  5. Review
  6. Review
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  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. A Ten-Year Trend Analysis ofFoods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Marlous FockerWageningen Food Safety Research (WFSR), 6708 WB Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-8483-0551
Michiel van EupenWageningen Environmental Research (WEnR), 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7068-3140
Peter VerweijWageningen Environmental Research (WEnR), 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Cheng LiuWageningen Food Safety Research (WFSR), 6708 WB Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-0513-9610
Charlotte van HarenWageningen Environmental Research (WEnR), 6708 PB Wageningen, The Netherlands.
H J van der Fels-KlerxWageningen Food Safety Research (WFSR), 6708 WB Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7801-394X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The climate is changing in Europe: average temperatures are increasing, and so is the frequency of extreme weather events. Climate change has a severe impact on areas suitable for growing certain crops and on food safety, for example, affecting the occurrence of the aflatoxin contamination of maize. The aim of this study was to obtain insights into the impact of climate change on possible changes in land use in Europe, particularly in areas suitable for maize cultivation, and on the probability of the mycotoxin contamination of maize in order to give directions for long-term adaptation to climate change. By combining a land use model and a mycotoxin prediction model, the suitability of land for maize cultivation and the probability of aflatoxin contamination were estimated for suitable areas in Europe, comparing the current climate with the 2050 scenario. In 2050, the occurrence of aflatoxin contamination in Europe is predicted to severely increase, especially in Central and Southern Europe. More northern regions, presently unsuitable for maize cultivation, will become suitable for maize cultivation in 2050. In the baseline scenario, most regions suitable for maize cultivation have a low probability of aflatoxin contamination, whereas in 2050, about half of the regions suitable for maize cultivation have a medium to high probability of aflatoxin contamination. Regions for safely growing maize for human consumption will shift from the southern to the northern half of Europe.

Indexed as

AflatoxinsMycotoxinsClimate ChangeEuropeFood ContaminationHumansZea maysAflatoxinsMycotoxinsclimate changeiCLUEland usemodelingmycotoxinstemperature

Identifiers

PMID37888630
PMCPMC10611387

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.