Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37884697›Full record

ArticleCommunications biology2023

Biological age estimation using circulating blood biomarkers.

Jordan Bortz, Andrea Guariglia, Lucija Klaric, David Tang, Peter Ward, Michael Geer, Marc Chadeau-Hyam, Dragana Vuckovic, Peter K Joshi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications biology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jordan BortzHumanity Inc, Humanity, 177 Huntington Ave, Ste 1700, Humanity Inc - 91556, Boston, MA, 02115, USA. jordan.bortz@humanity.email.ORCID 0000-0002-3763-2971
Andrea GuarigliaHumanity Inc, Humanity, 177 Huntington Ave, Ste 1700, Humanity Inc - 91556, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Lucija KlaricHumanity Inc, Humanity, 177 Huntington Ave, Ste 1700, Humanity Inc - 91556, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
David TangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6974-5663
Peter WardHumanity Inc, Humanity, 177 Huntington Ave, Ste 1700, Humanity Inc - 91556, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Michael GeerHumanity Inc, Humanity, 177 Huntington Ave, Ste 1700, Humanity Inc - 91556, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Marc Chadeau-HyamDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8341-5436
Dragana VuckovicDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK. d.vuckovic@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-9343-6142
Peter K JoshiHumanity Inc, Humanity, 177 Huntington Ave, Ste 1700, Humanity Inc - 91556, Boston, MA, 02115, USA. peter.joshi@humanity.email.ORCID 0000-0002-6361-5059

Funding

Department of HealthMedical Research Council MR/S019669/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Biological age captures physiological deterioration better than chronological age and is amenable to interventions. Blood-based biomarkers have been identified as suitable candidates for biological age estimation. This study aims to improve biological age estimation using machine learning models and a feature-set of 60 circulating biomarkers available from the UK Biobank (n = 306,116). We implement an Elastic-Net derived Cox model with 25 selected biomarkers to predict mortality risk (C-Index = 0.778; 95% CI [0.767-0.788]), which outperforms the well-known blood-biomarker based PhenoAge model (C-Index = 0.750; 95% CI [0.739-0.761]), providing a C-Index lift of 0.028 representing an 11% relative increase in predictive value. Importantly, we then show that using common clinical assay panels, with few biomarkers, alongside imputation and the model derived on the full set of biomarkers, does not substantially degrade predictive accuracy from the theoretical maximum achievable for the available biomarkers. Biological age is estimated as the equivalent age within the same-sex population which corresponds to an individual's mortality risk. Values ranged between 20-years younger and 20-years older than individuals' chronological age, exposing the magnitude of ageing signals contained in blood markers. Thus, we demonstrate a practical and cost-efficient method of estimating an improved measure of Biological Age, available to the general population.

Indexed as

AgingBiomarkersHumansBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID37884697
PMCPMC10603148

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.