Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37883517›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Hedges, mottes, and baileys: Causally ambiguous statistical language can increase perceived study quality and policy relevance.

Daniela Alvarez-Vargas, David Braithwaite, Hugues Lortie-Forgues, Melody Moore, Sirui Wan, Elizabeth Martin, Drew Hal Bailey

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Causal inference on human behaviour.Nature human behaviour · 2024
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Daniela Alvarez-VargasSchool of Education, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-4075-1154
David BraithwaiteDepartment of Psychology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America.
Hugues Lortie-ForguesDepartment of Mathematics Education, Loughborough University, Loughborough, Leicestershire, United Kingdom.
Melody MooreDepartment of Psychology, Baylor University, Waco, Texas, United States of America.
Sirui WanDepartment of Psychology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America.
Elizabeth MartinDepartment of Psychological Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California, United States of America.
Drew Hal BaileyDepartment of Psychological Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There is a norm in psychology to use causally ambiguous statistical language, rather than straightforward causal language, when describing methods and results of nonexperimental studies. However, causally ambiguous language may inhibit a critical examination of the study's causal assumptions and lead to a greater acceptance of policy recommendations that rely on causal interpretations of nonexperimental findings. In a preregistered experiment, 142 psychology faculty, postdocs, and doctoral students (54% female), ages 22-67 (M = 33.20, SD = 8.96), rated the design and analysis from hypothetical studies with causally ambiguous statistical language as of higher quality (by .34-.80 SD) and as similarly or more supportive (by .16-.27 SD) of policy recommendations than studies described in straightforward causal language. Thus, using statistical rather than causal language to describe nonexperimental findings did not decrease, and may have increased, perceived support for implicitly causal conclusions.

Indexed as

FacultyLanguageCausalityFemaleHealth PersonnelHumansMale

Identifiers

PMID37883517
PMCPMC10602341

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.