Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37883058›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of public health2023

Estimated number of reported vaccine-preventable disease cases averted following the introduction of routine vaccination programs in Sweden, 1910-2019.

Leah J Martin, Ilias Galanis, Tiia Lepp, Ann Lindstrand

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Leah J MartinPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8034-1221
Ilias GalanisPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Tiia LeppPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Ann LindstrandPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Public Health Agency of Sweden · SE

Funding

Public Health Agency of SwedenStockholm University
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRoutine childhood vaccination programs have had enormous positive public health impacts worldwide. However, in some areas, these benefits may be impeded by vaccine hesitancy and undervaccination. We estimated the number of reported cases of measles, pertussis, mumps and poliomyelitis averted in Sweden after the introduction of routine childhood vaccination programs.

methodsWe used annual national data on population size and the number of reported cases of measles (1911-2019), pertussis (1911-2019), mumps (1914-2019) and poliomyelitis (1910-2019) for Sweden. For each disease, we calculated the median and 95% confidence interval of the annual pre-vaccination incidence to estimate the number of counterfactual cases; that is, the estimated number of cases that would have been observed in the post-vaccination period had no vaccine been introduced (median incidence × average annual population). For the post-vaccination periods, we calculated reported cases averted and assumed all decreases were due to vaccines.

resultsIn total, for all four diseases combined, over 2.1 million cases were reported over the respective surveillance periods. Since the introduction of vaccinations, we estimate that over 1.5 million reported cases of these four diseases combined have been averted: measles (633 091), pertussis (608 670), mumps (262 951) and poliomyelitis (58 240). However, due to underreporting, especially during pre-vaccination years, these are likely underestimates.

conclusionsSince the introduction of these routine childhood vaccination programs in Sweden, a substantial number of reported cases of vaccine-preventable diseases have been averted. Vigilance against both failure to vaccinate and undervaccination is necessary to prevent future increases of these vaccine-preventable diseases.

Indexed as

MeaslesMumpsPoliomyelitisVaccine-Preventable DiseasesVaccinesWhooping CoughHumansMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineSwedenVaccinationMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineVaccines

Identifiers

PMID37883058
PMCPMC10710358
OpenAlexW4387948560

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.