Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37880510›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of cancer2023

Personalised lung cancer risk stratification and lung cancer screening: do general practice electronic medical records have a role?

Bhautesh Dinesh Jani, Michael K Sullivan, Peter Hanlon, Barbara I Nicholl, Jennifer S Lees, Lamorna Brown, Sara MacDonald, Patrick B Mark, Frances S Mair, Frank M Sullivan

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of cancer, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Risk prediction for lung cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-regression.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Bhautesh Dinesh JaniGeneral Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK. Bhautesh.jani@glasgow.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-7348-514X
Michael K SullivanSchool of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Peter HanlonGeneral Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Barbara I NichollGeneral Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Jennifer S LeesSchool of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Lamorna BrownPopulation and Behavioural Science Division, School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
Sara MacDonaldGeneral Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Patrick B MarkSchool of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3387-2123
Frances S MairGeneral Practice and Primary Care, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Frank M SullivanPopulation and Behavioural Science Division, School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK.
University of Glasgow · GBUniversity of St Andrews · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/S021949/1Medical Research Council MR/V001671/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn the United Kingdom (UK), cancer screening invitations are based on general practice (GP) registrations. We hypothesize that GP electronic medical records (EMR) can be utilised to calculate a lung cancer risk score with good accuracy/clinical utility.

methodsThe development cohort was Secure Anonymised Information Linkage-SAIL (2.3 million GP EMR) and the validation cohort was UK Biobank-UKB (N = 211,597 with GP-EMR availability). Fast backward method was applied for variable selection and area under the curve (AUC) evaluated discrimination.

resultsAge 55-75 were included (SAIL: N = 574,196; UKB: N = 137,918). Six-year lung cancer incidence was 1.1% (6430) in SAIL and 0.48% (656) in UKB. The final model included 17/56 variables in SAIL for the EMR-derived score: age, sex, socioeconomic status, smoking status, family history, body mass index (BMI), BMI:smoking interaction, alcohol misuse, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, coronary heart disease, dementia, hypertension, painful condition, stroke, peripheral vascular disease and history of previous cancer and previous pneumonia. The GP-EMR-derived score had AUC of 80.4% in SAIL and 74.4% in UKB and outperformed ever-smoked criteria (currently the first step in UK lung cancer screening pilots). DISCUSSION: A GP-EMR-derived score may have a role in UK lung cancer screening by accurately targeting high-risk individuals without requiring patient contact.

Indexed as

General PracticeLung NeoplasmsAgedEarly Detection of CancerElectronic Health RecordsHumansMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID37880510
PMCPMC10703821
OpenAlexW4387938541

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.