Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37876231›Full record

ArticleProteins2023

Assessment of three-dimensional RNA structure prediction in CASP15.

Rhiju Das, Rachael C Kretsch, Adam J Simpkin, Thomas Mulvaney, Phillip Pham, Ramya Rangan, Fan Bu, Ronan M Keegan, Maya Topf, Daniel J Rigden and 2 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proteins, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 105 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
105citing papers in PubMed
22.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

105 citing papers in PubMed, 143 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. De novo design of RNA pseudoknots with deep learning.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Spectral Graph Features for Reference-free RNA 3D Quality Assessment.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
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  19. bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  20. Article

45 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 8 institutions in 5 countries.

Rhiju DasDepartment of Biochemistry, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7497-0972
Rachael C KretschBiophysics Program, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6935-518X
Adam J SimpkinInstitute of Systems, Molecular & Integrative Biology, The University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1883-9376
Thomas MulvaneyCentre for Structural Systems Biology (CSSB), Leibniz-Institut für Virologie (LIV), Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4373-6160
Phillip PhamDepartment of Biochemistry, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0240-6384
Ramya RanganBiophysics Program, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0960-0825
Fan BuGuangzhou Laboratory, Guangzhou International Bio Island, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0009-0000-1903-2270
Ronan M KeeganInstitute of Systems, Molecular & Integrative Biology, The University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9495-0431
Maya TopfCentre for Structural Systems Biology (CSSB), Leibniz-Institut für Virologie (LIV), Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8185-1215
Daniel J RigdenInstitute of Systems, Molecular & Integrative Biology, The University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7565-8937
Zhichao MiaoGMU-GIBH Joint School of Life Sciences, The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Joint Laboratory for Cell Fate Regulation and Diseases, Guangzhou National Laboratory, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5777-9815
Eric WesthofArchitecture et Réactivité de l'ARN, Institut de Biologie Moléculaire et Cellulaire du CNRS, Université de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France.ORCID 0000-0002-6172-5422
Stanford University · USUniversität Hamburg · DEUniversity of Liverpool · GBCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRHoward Hughes Medical Institute · USRutherford Appleton Laboratory · GBTongji University · CNUniversity of Science and Technology of China · CN

Funding

Next-generation computational/chemical methods for complex RNA structuresR35GM122579 · NIGMS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Rhiju Das · 2017 to 2026
$7.2M
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/S007105/1Howard Hughes Medical InstituteNIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM122579NIH HHS R35 GM122579
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The prediction of RNA three-dimensional structures remains an unsolved problem. Here, we report assessments of RNA structure predictions in CASP15, the first CASP exercise that involved RNA structure modeling. Forty-two predictor groups submitted models for at least one of twelve RNA-containing targets. These models were evaluated by the RNA-Puzzles organizers and, separately, by a CASP-recruited team using metrics (GDT, lDDT) and approaches (Z-score rankings) initially developed for assessment of proteins and generalized here for RNA assessment. The two assessments independently ranked the same predictor groups as first (AIchemy_RNA2), second (Chen), and third (RNAPolis and GeneSilico, tied); predictions from deep learning approaches were significantly worse than these top ranked groups, which did not use deep learning. Further analyses based on direct comparison of predicted models to cryogenic electron microscopy (cryo-EM) maps and x-ray diffraction data support these rankings. With the exception of two RNA-protein complexes, models submitted by CASP15 groups correctly predicted the global fold of the RNA targets. Comparisons of CASP15 submissions to designed RNA nanostructures as well as molecular replacement trials highlight the potential utility of current RNA modeling approaches for RNA nanotechnology and structural biology, respectively. Nevertheless, challenges remain in modeling fine details such as noncanonical pairs, in ranking among submitted models, and in prediction of multiple structures resolved by cryo-EM or crystallography.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsRNAComputational BiologyProteinsProteinsRNACASP15conformational ensemblescryogenic electron microscopydeep learningmolecular replacementribonucleic acidstructure prediction

Identifiers

PMID37876231
PMCPMC10841292
OpenAlexW4387931208

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.