Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37875995›Full record

ArticleCritical care (London, England)2023

Interpretable machine learning models for predicting venous thromboembolism in the intensive care unit: an analysis based on data from 207 centers.

Chengfu Guan, Fuxin Ma, Sijie Chang, Jinhua Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care (London, England), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Chengfu GuanDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, #18 Daoshan Road, Fuzhou, 350001, China.
Fuxin MaDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, #18 Daoshan Road, Fuzhou, 350001, China.
Sijie ChangDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, #18 Daoshan Road, Fuzhou, 350001, China.
Jinhua ZhangDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, #18 Daoshan Road, Fuzhou, 350001, China. pollyzhang2006@126.com.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5629-0348

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVenous thromboembolism (VTE) is a severe complication in critically ill patients, often resulting in death and long-term disability and is one of the major contributors to the global burden of disease. This study aimed to construct an interpretable machine learning (ML) model for predicting VTE in critically ill patients based on clinical features and laboratory indicators.

methodsData for this study were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (version 2.0). A stepwise logistic regression model was used to select the predictors that were eventually included in the model. The random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and support vector machine algorithms were used to construct the model using fivefold cross-validation. The area under curve (AUC), accuracy, no information rate, balanced accuracy, kappa, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1 score were used to assess the model's performance. In addition, the DALEX package was used to improve the interpretability of the final model.

resultsThis study ultimately included 109,044 patients, of which 1647 (1.5%) had VTE during ICU hospitalization. Among the three models, the Random Forest model (AUC: 0.9378; Accuracy: 0.9958; Kappa: 0.8371; Precision: 0.9095; F1 score: 0.8393; Sensitivity: 0.7791; Specificity: 0.9989) performed the best.

conclusionML models can be a reliable tool for predicting VTE in critically ill patients. Among all the models we had constructed, the random forest model was the most effective model that helps the user identify patients at high risk of VTE early so that early intervention can be implemented to reduce the burden of VTE on the patients.

Indexed as

Critical IllnessVenous ThromboembolismAlgorithmsHumansIntensive Care UnitsMachine LearningCritically illMachine learningPrediction modelVenous thromboembolism

Identifiers

PMID37875995
PMCPMC10598960

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.