Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37872703›Full record

ArticleProteins2023

Breaking the conformational ensemble barrier: Ensemble structure modeling challenges in CASP15.

Andriy Kryshtafovych, Gaetano T Montelione, Daniel J Rigden, Shahram Mesdaghi, Ezgi Karaca, John Moult

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proteins, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. AlphaFold3 at CASP16.Proteins · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Blind prediction of complex water and ion ensembles around RNA in CASP16.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  11. Modeling Alternative Conformational States in CASP16.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Tevenvirinae phages encode a family of LSm-like fold proteins.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. AlphaFold2 has more to learn about protein energy landscapes.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Andriy KryshtafovychGenome Center, University of California, Davis, Davis, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5066-7178
Gaetano T MontelioneDepartment of Chemistry and Chemical Biology, Center for Biotechnology and Interdisciplinary Sciences, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9440-3059
Daniel J RigdenInstitute of Systems, Molecular, and Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7565-8937
Shahram MesdaghiInstitute of Systems, Molecular, and Integrative Biology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Ezgi KaracaIzmir Biomedicine and Genome Center, Izmir, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0002-4926-7991
John MoultInstitute for Bioscience and Biotechnology Research, Rockville, Maryland, USA.

Funding

Prospective analysis to determine model accuracy performance and boundaries in the post-AlphaFold2 environmentR01GM100482 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI FIDELIS, KRZYSZTOF A · 2012 to 2025
$11.1M
Hybrid Methods for Dynamic Structure Analysis of Proteins from Pathogenic MicroorganismsR35GM141818 · NIGMS · RENSSELAER POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE · PI MONTELIONE, GAETANO T · 2021 to 2025
$3.3M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM100482NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM141818
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

For the first time, the 2022 CASP (Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction) community experiment included a section on computing multiple conformations for protein and RNA structures. There was full or partial success in reproducing the ensembles for four of the nine targets, an encouraging result. For protein structures, enhanced sampling with variations of the AlphaFold2 deep learning method was by far the most effective approach. One substantial conformational change caused by a single mutation across a complex interface was accurately reproduced. In two other assembly modeling cases, methods succeeded in sampling conformations near to the experimental ones even though environmental factors were not included in the calculations. An experimentally derived flexibility ensemble allowed a single accurate RNA structure model to be identified. Difficulties included how to handle sparse or low-resolution experimental data and the current lack of effective methods for modeling RNA/protein complexes. However, these and other obstacles appear addressable.

Indexed as

ProteinsRNAMutationProtein ConformationProteinsRNAAlphaFoldCASPconformational ensembleprotein structureRNA structure

Identifiers

PMID37872703
PMCPMC10840738

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.