Bivalent Vaccine Effectiveness Among Adults Aged ≥65 Years During the BA.5-Predominant Period in Japan: The VENUS Study.

Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron BA.5 became prevalent in July 2022 in Japan. Bivalent messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines were approved as booster doses for individuals who received the primary series or booster dose by monovalent vaccines. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of bivalent vaccines in Japanese adults aged ≥65 years. Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study using data collected from January 2019 to February 2023 in Japan. We included individuals aged ≥65 years in a municipality who received the first or second booster dose of monovalent mRNA vaccines. We estimated the effectiveness of the second or third booster dose of bivalent mRNA vaccines during the Omicron BA.5-predominant period (July-December 2022), compared with ≥90 days after the booster dose of monovalent vaccines. We used a Cox proportional hazard regression model with vaccination status as a time-dependent covariate. Results: A total of 81 977 individuals aged ≥65 years (mean [standard deviation] age, 78.3 [7.4] years; 33 487 male [40.8%]) were included in the study cohort. Among them, 57 396 were vaccinated with the second or third dose of bivalent vaccines (BA.1 or BA.4/5). The effectiveness against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was estimated to be 57.9% (95% confidence interval, 52.7%-62.5%) for ≥14 days after the second or third bivalent booster dose, compared with 90 days after the first or second monovalent booster dose. Conclusions: The study showed that the bivalent mRNA vaccines as the second and third doses would provide protection against COVID-19 among adults ≥65 years in Japan.