Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37862463›Full record

Trial reportThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism2024

Incidence and Determinants of Spontaneous Normalization of Subclinical Hypothyroidism in Older Adults.

Evie van der Spoel, Nicolien A van Vliet, Rosalinde K E Poortvliet, Robert S Du Puy, Wendy P J den Elzen, Terence J Quinn, David J Stott, Naveed Sattar, Patricia M Kearney, Manuel R Blum and 10 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01660126 (Multi-modal Effects of Thyroid Hormone Replacement for Untreated Older Adults With Subclinical Hypothyroidism; a Randomised Placebo-controlled Trial), which is not on this map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01660126 phase4completednot on this map

Multi-modal Effects of Thyroid Hormone Replacement for Untreated Older Adults With Subclinical Hypothyroidism; a Randomised Placebo-controlled Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorNHS Greater Glasgow and ClydeRan2014 to 2016Enrolled737ConditionsSubclinical HypothyroidismArmsLevothyroxine, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Levothyroxine Discontinuation: The Potential Role of Excess Iodine Exposure.Endocrinology and metabolism (Seoul, Korea) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Thyroid dysfunction in ageing populations.Endocrine connections · 2025
    Review
  9. Thyroid disease in ageing populations.Endocrine connections · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Evie van der SpoelDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7112-4145
Nicolien A van VlietDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Rosalinde K E PoortvlietDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Robert S Du PuyDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Wendy P J den ElzenAmsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Department of Clinical Chemistry, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Terence J QuinnDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G4 0SF, UK.
David J StottDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G4 0SF, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3110-7746
Naveed SattarInstitute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8TA, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1604-2593
Patricia M KearneySchool of Public Health, University College Cork, Cork T12 K8AF, Ireland.
Manuel R BlumDepartment of General Internal Medicine, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, 3008 Bern, Switzerland.
Heba AlwanInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.
Nicolas RodondiInstitute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-9083-6896
Tinh-Hai ColletService of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Nutrition and Therapeutic Education, Department of Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-3243-1222
Rudi G J WestendorpDepartment of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, 1353 Copenhagen, Denmark.
Bart E BallieuxDepartment of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
J Wouter JukemaDepartment of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Olaf M DekkersDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Endocrinology, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Jacobijn GusseklooDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Simon P MooijaartDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Diana van HeemstDepartment of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, 2333 ZA Leiden, The Netherlands.
Leiden University Medical Center · NLUniversity of Bern · CHUniversity of Glasgow · GBAmsterdam University Medical Centers · NLUniversity College Cork · IEUniversity of Copenhagen · DKUniversity of Geneva · CH

Funding

Swiss National Science Foundation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

contextWith age, the prevalence of subclinical hypothyroidism rises. However, incidence and determinants of spontaneous normalization remain largely unknown.

objectiveTo investigate incidence and determinants of spontaneous normalization of TSH levels in older adults with subclinical hypothyroidism.

designPooled data were used from the (1) pretrial population and (2) in-trial placebo group from 2 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials (Thyroid Hormone Replacement for Untreated Older Adults With Subclinical Hypothyroidism Trial and Institute for Evidence-Based Medicine in Old Age thyroid 80-plus thyroid trial).

settingCommunity-dwelling 65+ adults with subclinical hypothyroidism from the Netherlands, Switzerland, Ireland, and the United Kingdom.

participantsThe pretrial population (N = 2335) consisted of older adults with biochemical subclinical hypothyroidism, defined as ≥1 elevated TSH measurement (≥4.60 mIU/L) and a free T4 within the laboratory-specific reference range. Individuals with persistent subclinical hypothyroidism, defined as ≥2 elevated TSH measurements ≥3 months apart, were randomized to levothyroxine/placebo, of which the in-trial placebo group (N = 361) was included.

main outcome measuresIncidence of spontaneous normalization of TSH levels and associations between participant characteristics and normalization.

resultsIn the pretrial phase, TSH levels normalized in 60.8% of participants in a median follow-up of 1 year. In the in-trial phase, levels normalized in 39.9% of participants after 1 year of follow-up. Younger age, female sex, lower initial TSH level, higher initial free T4 level, absence of thyroid peroxidase antibodies, and a follow-up measurement in summer were independent determinants for normalization.

conclusionBecause TSH levels spontaneously normalized in a large proportion of older adults with subclinical hypothyroidism (also after confirmation by repeat measurement), a third measurement may be recommended before considering treatment.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01660126 and Netherlands Trial Register, NTR3851.

Indexed as

HypothyroidismThyrotropinAgedFemaleHumansIncidenceThyroxineThyrotropinThyroxinefollow-up studiesolder adultssubclinical hypothyroidismthyrotropin

Identifiers

PMID37862463
PMCPMC10876405
OpenAlexW4387805428

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.