Chronic diseases and multimorbidity patterns, their recent onset, and risk of new-onset Parkinson's disease and related functional degeneration in older adults: a prospective cohort study.

Background: Certain chronic diseases contribute to increased risks of Parkinson's disease (PD), but the association between time-varying multimorbidity patterns and new-onset PD remains underexplored. Methods: Data were from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) waves 5-8 conducted between January 2013 and March 2020. Eleven chronic diseases were included, with ≥2 denoting multimorbidity. Three multimorbidity patterns were further defined: somatic multimorbidity (SMM), neuropsychiatric multimorbidity (NPM), and cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM). PD-related function degeneration included functional limitations, mobility limitations, depressive symptoms, and cognitive decline. Time-dependent analyses, competing-risk analyses, and mixed-effect models were utilised. Findings: In this prospective cohort study, 557 developed new-onset PD during follow-ups among 64,273 participants included at baseline, as defined by participants' self-reported physician diagnoses. Participants with (vs. without) multimorbidity, SMM, NPM, and CMM were at 1.40-2.70 times higher PD risk after considering the competing role of all-cause death, which remained significant in all sensitivity analyses and were more pronounced in lower-income participants ( Interpretation: Our findings suggest that promoting early prevention of multimorbidity, especially recent-onset multimorbidity and NPM, could prevent some subsequent cases of PD and related functional degeneration among older adults. However, further studies are needed to confirm this association. Funding: The National Key Research and Development Program, Ministry of Science and Technology, China; Zhongnanshan Medical Foundation of Guangdong Province; Major Project of the National Social Science Fund of China; Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.