Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37853026›Full record

Trial reportScientific reports2023

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival in nonsurgically treated elderly patients with prostate cancer.

Zhaoxia Zhang, Qian Cai, Jinkui Wang, Zhigang Yao, Fengming Ji, Yu Hang, Jing Ma, Hongchao Jiang, Bing Yan, Chenghao Zhanghuang

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Zhaoxia Zhang *Department of Urology, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing Higher Institution Engineering Research Center of Children's Medical Big Data Intelligent Application, Chongqing, People's Republic of China.
Qian Cai *Department of Urology, Affiliated Hospital of Yunnan University (The Second People's Hospital of Yunnan Province, Ophthalmic Hospital of Yunnan Province), Kunming, Yunnan, People's Republic of China.
Jinkui WangDepartment of Urology, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing Higher Institution Engineering Research Center of Children's Medical Big Data Intelligent Application, Chongqing, People's Republic of China.
Zhigang YaoDepartment of Urology, Kunming Children's Hospital (Children's Hospital affiliated to Kunming Medical University), 288 Qianxing Road, Kunming, 650228, Yunnan, China.
Fengming JiDepartment of Urology, Kunming Children's Hospital (Children's Hospital affiliated to Kunming Medical University), 288 Qianxing Road, Kunming, 650228, Yunnan, China.
Yu HangDepartment of Urology, Kunming Children's Hospital (Children's Hospital affiliated to Kunming Medical University), 288 Qianxing Road, Kunming, 650228, Yunnan, China.
Jing MaYunnan Key Laboratory of Children's Major Disease Research, Kunming Children's Hospital (Children's Hospital Affiliated to Kunming Medical University), Yunnan Province Clinical Research Center for Children's Health and Disease, Kunming, People's Republic of China.
Hongchao JiangScience and Education Department, Kunming Children's Hospital (Children's Hospital affiliated to Kunming Medical University), Kunming, People's Republic of China.
Bing YanDepartment of Urology, Kunming Children's Hospital (Children's Hospital affiliated to Kunming Medical University), 288 Qianxing Road, Kunming, 650228, Yunnan, China. yanbing@etyy.cn.
Chenghao ZhanghuangDepartment of Urology, Kunming Children's Hospital (Children's Hospital affiliated to Kunming Medical University), 288 Qianxing Road, Kunming, 650228, Yunnan, China. zhanghuangchenghao@etyy.cn.
Kunming Children's Hospital · CNKunming Medical University · CNChildren's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University · CNChina International Science and Technology Cooperation · CNSecond People's Hospital of Yunnan Province · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prostate Cancer (PC) is the most common male nonskin tumour in the world, and most diagnosed patients are over 65 years old. The main treatment for PC includes surgical treatment and nonsurgical treatment. Currently, for nonsurgically treated elderly patients, few studies have evaluated their prognostic factors. Our aim was to construct a nomogram that could predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in nonsurgically treated elderly PC patients to assess their prognosis-related independent risk factors. Patient information was obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, and our target population was nonsurgically treated PC patients who were over 65 years old. Independent risk factors were determined using both univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. A nomogram was built using a multivariate Cox regression model. The accuracy and discrimination of the prediction model were tested using the consistency index (C-index), the area under the subject operating characteristic curve (AUC), and the calibration curve. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to examine the potential clinical value of this model. A total of 87,831 elderly PC patients with nonsurgical treatment in 2010-2018 were included in the study and were randomly assigned to the training set (N = 61,595) and the validation set (N = 26,236). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression model analyses showed that age, race, marital status, TNM stage, chemotherapy, radiotherapy modality, PSA and GS were independent risk factors for predicting CSS in nonsurgically treated elderly PC patients. The C-index of the training set and the validation set was 0.894 (95% CI 0.888-0.900) and 0.897 (95% CI 0.887-0.907), respectively, indicating the good discrimination ability of the nomogram. The AUC and the calibration curves also show good accuracy and discriminability. We developed a new nomogram to predict CSS in elderly PC patients with nonsurgical treatment. The model is internally validated with good accuracy and reliability, as well as potential clinical value, and can be used for clinical aid in decision-making.

Indexed as

NomogramsProstatic NeoplasmsAgedCalibrationDatabases, FactualHumansMaleProcaterolReproducibility of ResultsSEER ProgramProcaterol

Identifiers

PMID37853026
PMCPMC10584808
OpenAlexW4387739867

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.