ArticleNature communications2023
Impacts of climate change, population growth, and power sector decarbonization on urban building energy use.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
What it found
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
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- Patterns, drivers, and trends of urban cooling demand across global cities.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Advanced Plasma-Modified Textile Polymer Materials for Building Energy Retrofit Technologies.Polymers · 2026Review
- Multimodal modeling framework and characteristic analysis of a new air-source heat pump heating system.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Climate change exacerbates disparities of energy resilience in New York City.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Updating global green-hydrogen production costs and configurations under future climates.Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.)) · 2026Article
- Probabilistic day-ahead forecasting of system-level renewable energy and electricity demand.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Integrating indoor and outdoor nitrogen dioxide exposures in US homes nationally by ZIP code.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- A dataset for understanding self-reported patterns influencing residential energy decisions.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Energy Generation and Carbon Footprint under Future Projections (2022-2100) of Central Asian Temperature Extremes.Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ) · 2025Article
- A Large-Scale Residential Load Dataset in a Southern Province of China.Scientific data · 2025Article
- From chromatin to crop: epigenetic innovations in bioenergy systems.Frontiers in plant science · 2025Review
- CHUWD-H v1.0: a comprehensive historical hourly weather database for U.S. urban energy system modeling.Scientific data · 2024Article
- The road to carbon neutrality in China's building sector.iScience · 2024Article
- Drivers of natural gas use in U.S. residential buildings.Science advances · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate, technologies, and socio-economic changes will influence future building energy use in cities. However, current low-resolution regional and state-level analyses are insufficient to reliably assist city-level decision-making. Here we estimate mid-century hourly building energy consumption in 277 U.S. urban areas using a bottom-up approach. The projected future climate change results in heterogeneous changes in energy use intensity (EUI) among urban areas, particularly under higher warming scenarios, with on average 10.1-37.7% increases in the frequency of peak building electricity EUI but over 110% increases in some cities. For each 1 °C of warming, the mean city-scale space-conditioning EUI experiences an average increase/decrease of ~14%/ ~ 10% for space cooling/heating. Heterogeneous city-scale building source energy use changes are primarily driven by population and power sector changes, on average ranging from -9% to 40% with consistent south-north gradients under different scenarios. Across the scenarios considered here, the changes in city-scale building source energy use, when averaged over all urban areas, are as follows: -2.5% to -2.0% due to climate change, 7.3% to 52.2% due to population growth, and -17.1% to -8.9% due to power sector decarbonization. Our findings underscore the necessity of considering intercity heterogeneity when developing sustainable and resilient urban energy systems.
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Registered trials
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