Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37850151›Full record

ArticleMarine policy2021

Towards integrated modeling of the long-term impacts of oil spills.

Helena M Solo-Gabriele, Tom Fiddaman, Cecilie Mauritzen, Cameron Ainsworth, David M Abramson, Igal Berenshtein, Eric P Chassignet, Shuyi S Chen, Robyn N Conmy, Christa D Court and 33 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Marine policy, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Re-thinking human interactions with the oceans.Royal Society open science · 2024
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

43 authors.

Helena M Solo-GabrieleDepartment of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 33146, USA.
Tom FiddamanVentana Systems, Inc., Harvard, MA 01451, USA.
Cecilie MauritzenDepartment of Climate, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway.
Cameron AinsworthCollege of Marine Science, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA.
David M AbramsonSchool of Global Public Health, New York University, New York, NY 10003, USA.
Igal BerenshteinDepartment of Ocean Sciences, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33149, USA.
Eric P ChassignetCenter for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA.
Shuyi S ChenDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Robyn N ConmyOffice of Research and Development, US Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH 45268, USA.
Christa D CourtFood and Resource Economics Department, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
William K DewarLaboratoire de Glaciologie et Geophysique de l'Environnement, French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS), Grenoble, France 38000, and Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA.
John W FarringtonWoods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Wood Hole, MA 02543, USA.
Michael G FeldmanConsortium for Ocean Leadership, Gulf of Mexico Research Initiative, Washington, DC 20005, USA.
Alesia C FergusonBuilt Environment Department, College of Science and Technology, North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University, Greensboro, NC 27411, USA.
Elizabeth Fetherston-ReschFlorida Institute of Oceanography, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA.
Deborah French-McCayRPS Ocean Science, South Kingstown, RI 02879, USA.
Christine HaleHarte Research Institute for Gulf of Mexico Studies, Texas A&M University Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX 78412, USA.
Ruoying HeDept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.
Vassiliki H KourafalouDepartment of Ocean Sciences, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33149, USA.
Kenneth LeeFisheries and Oceans Canada, Ecosystem Science, Ottawa, Ontario, K1A 0E6, Canada.
Yonggang LiuCollege of Marine Science, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA.
Michelle MasiSoutheast Fisheries Science Center, National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, Galveston, TX 77551, USA.
Emily S Maung-DouglassLouisiana Sea Grant College Program, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803, USA.
Steven L MoreySchool of the Environment, Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University, Tallahassee, FL 32307, USA.
Steven A MurawskiCollege of Marine Science, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA.
Claire B ParisDepartment of Ocean Sciences, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33149, USA.
Natalie PerlinDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL 33149, USA.
Erin L PulsterCollege of Marine Science, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA.
Antonietta QuiggDepartment of Marine Biology, Texas A&M University at Galveston, Galveston, TX 77553, USA.
Denise J ReedPontchartrain Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of New Orleans, 2000 Lakeshore Drive, New Orleans, LA 70148, USA.
James J RuzickaCooperative Institute for Marine Resources Studies, Oregon State University, Newport, OR 97365, USA.
Paul A SandiferCenter for Coastal Environmental and Human Health, College of Charleston, Charleston, SC 29424, USA.
John G ShepherdSchool of Ocean & Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK.
Burton H SingerEmerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA.
Michael R StukelDepartment of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA.
Tracey T SuttonGuy Harvey Oceanographic Center, Halmos College of Arts and Sciences, Nova Southeastern University, Dania Beach, FL 33004, USA.
Robert H WeisbergCollege of Marine Science, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA.
Denis WiesenburgSchool of Ocean Science and Engineering, University of Southern Mississippi, Hattiesburg, MS 39406, USA.
Charles A WilsonGulf of Mexico Alliance, Ocean Springs, MS 39564, USA.
Monica WilsonFlorida Sea Grant, University of Florida, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA.
Kateryna M WowkHarte Research Institute for Gulf of Mexico Studies, Texas A&M University Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX 78412, USA.
Callan YanoffConsortium for Ocean Leadership, Gulf of Mexico Research Initiative, Washington, DC 20005, USA.
David YoskowitzHarte Research Institute for Gulf of Mexico Studies, Texas A&M University Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX 78412, USA.

Funding

Intramural EPA EPA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although great progress has been made to advance the scientific understanding of oil spills, tools for integrated assessment modeling of the long-term impacts on ecosystems, socioeconomics and human health are lacking. The objective of this study was to develop a conceptual framework that could be used to answer stakeholder questions about oil spill impacts and to identify knowledge gaps and future integration priorities. The framework was initially separated into four knowledge domains (ocean environment, biological ecosystems, socioeconomics, and human health) whose interactions were explored by gathering stakeholder questions through public engagement, assimilating expert input about existing models, and consolidating information through a system dynamics approach. This synthesis resulted in a causal loop diagram from which the interconnectivity of the system could be visualized. Results of this analysis indicate that the system naturally separates into two tiers, ocean environment and biological ecosystems versus socioeconomics and human health. As a result, ocean environment and ecosystem models could be used to provide input to explore human health and socioeconomic variables in hypothetical scenarios. At decadal-plus time scales, the analysis emphasized that human domains influence the natural domains through changes in oil-spill related laws and regulations. Although data gaps were identified in all four model domains, the socioeconomics and human health domains are the least established. Considerable future work is needed to address research gaps and to create fully coupled quantitative integrative assessment models that can be used in strategic decision-making that will optimize recoveries from future large oil spills.

Indexed as

Causal loop diagramsImpact and damage assessmentIntegrated assessment modelingOil spillsSystems dynamics

Identifiers

PMID37850151
PMCPMC10581399

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.