Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37849505›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2023

The Syphilis Epidemic Among Heterosexuals Is Accelerating: Evidence From King County, Washington.

Anna Berzkalns, Meena S Ramchandani, Chase A Cannon, Roxanne P Kerani, Julie C Dombrowski, Matthew R Golden

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Anna BerzkalnsHIV/STD/HCV Program, Public Health-Seattle & King County, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Meena S RamchandaniHIV/STD/HCV Program, Public Health-Seattle & King County, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Chase A CannonHIV/STD/HCV Program, Public Health-Seattle & King County, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Roxanne P KeraniHIV/STD/HCV Program, Public Health-Seattle & King County, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Julie C DombrowskiHIV/STD/HCV Program, Public Health-Seattle & King County, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Matthew R GoldenHIV/STD/HCV Program, Public Health-Seattle & King County, Seattle, Washington, USA.
University of Washington · USPublic Health – Seattle & King County · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: We characterized the rapid increase in syphilis among cisgender women in King County, Washington, and compared it with trends among cisgender men who have sex with men. Method: We used surveillance data from King County, 2007 to 2022, to describe incidence trends stratified by syphilis stage, gender, and gender of sex partners; trends in pregnant cases and congenital syphilis; and trends in rapid plasma reagin titer at diagnosis among late/unknown duration cases. We used joinpoint regression to analyze trends. Results: Among cisgender women, all-stage syphilis incidence remained stable from 2007 to 2010 but then increased by 16.3% per year (95% CI, 12.0%-20.7%) from 2010 to 2020 and 90.1% per year (95% CI, 26.4%-185.9%) from 2020 to 2022. Early syphilis rates rose gradually from 2007 to 2017 (18% per year; 95% CI, 7.4%-29.6%) and then rapidly from 2017 to 2022 (62.5% per year; 95% CI, 24.1%-112.9%). In contrast, the increase in late/unknown duration syphilis incidence was delayed. Among cisgender men who have sex with women, all-stage syphilis remained stable from 2007 to 2014 and increased 25.0% per year (95% CI, 14.0%-37.0%) from 2014 to 2022. Syphilis incidence increased steadily among men who have sex with men, with all-stage incidence increasing 7.0% per year (95% CI, 4.8%-9.2%) from 2007 to 2022. Median rapid plasma reagin titer among late/unknown duration cases increased significantly over the analysis period. Conclusions: An explosive epidemic of syphilis is ongoing in King County. The delayed increase in asymptomatic late/unknown duration cases relative to early symptomatic cases suggests that there is a large and growing reservoir of recently acquired undiagnosed syphilis in women. New clinical and public health activities are urgently needed to control the growing epidemic.

Identifiers

PMID37849505
PMCPMC10578507
OpenAlexW4387026143

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.