Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37848804›Full record

ArticleAging clinical and experimental research2023

Predicting mortality and re-hospitalization for heart failure: a machine-learning and cluster analysis on frailty and comorbidity.

Chukwuma Okoye, Tessa Mazzarone, Filippo Niccolai, Leonardo Bencivenga, Giulia Pescatore, Maria Giovanna Bianco, Cinzia Guerrini, Andrea Giusti, Daniela Guarino, Agostino Virdis

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Aging clinical and experimental research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Interpretable Machine Learning Models Using Peripheral Immune Cells to Predict 90-Day Readmission or Mortality in Acute Heart Failure Patients.Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Chukwuma OkoyeGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Tessa MazzaroneGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy. tessa.mazzarone@phd.unipi.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-2435-9402
Filippo NiccolaiGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Leonardo BencivengaDepartment of Translational Medical Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy.
Giulia PescatoreGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Maria Giovanna BiancoGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Cinzia GuerriniGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Andrea GiustiGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Daniela GuarinoGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
Agostino VirdisGeriatrics Unit, Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Via Paradisa, 2, 56124, Pisa, Italy.
University of Pisa · ITUniversity of Naples Federico II · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMachine-learning techniques have been recently utilized to predict the probability of unfavorable outcomes among elderly patients suffering from heart failure (HF); yet none has integrated an assessment for frailty and comorbidity. This research seeks to determine which machine-learning-based phenogroups that incorporate frailty and comorbidity are most strongly correlated with death or readmission at hospital for HF within six months following discharge from hospital.

methodsIn this single-center, prospective study of a tertiary care center, we included all patients aged 65 and older discharged for acute decompensated heart failure. Random forest analysis and a Cox multivariable regression were performed to determine the predictors of the composite endpoint. By k-means and hierarchical clustering, those predictors were utilized to phenomapping the cohort in four different clusters.

resultsA total of 571 patients were included in the study. Cluster analysis identified four different clusters according to frailty, burden of comorbidities and BNP. As compared with Cluster 4, we found an increased 6-month risk of poor outcomes patients in Cluster 1 (very frail and comorbid; HR 3.53 [95% CI 2.30-5.39]), Cluster 2 (pre-frail with low levels of BNP; HR 2.59 [95% CI 1.66-4.07], and in Cluster 3 (pre-frail and comorbid with high levels of BNP; HR 3.75 [95% CI 2.25-6.27])).

conclusionsIn older patients discharged for ADHF, the cluster analysis identified four distinct phenotypes according to frailty degree, comorbidity, and BNP levels. Further studies are warranted to validate these phenogroups and to guide an appropriate selection of personalized, model of care.

Indexed as

FrailtyHeart FailureAgedCluster AnalysisComorbidityFrail ElderlyHospitalizationHumansProspective StudiesClusteringComorbiditiesFrailtyHeart failureOlder adults

Identifiers

PMID37848804
PMCPMC10721693
OpenAlexW4387696595

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.