Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37848437›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

The momentum of the solar energy transition.

Femke J M M Nijsse, Jean-Francois Mercure, Nadia Ameli, Francesca Larosa, Sumit Kothari, Jamie Rickman, Pim Vercoulen, Hector Pollitt

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Femke J M M NijsseGlobal Systems Institute, Department of Geography, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK. f.j.m.m.nijsse@exeter.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6674-5350
Jean-Francois MercureGlobal Systems Institute, Department of Geography, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2620-9200
Nadia AmeliInstitute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6728-9190
Francesca LarosaInstitute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4350-8790
Sumit KothariInstitute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4560-1059
Jamie RickmanInstitute for Sustainable Resources, University College London, London, UK.
Pim VercoulenGlobal Systems Institute, Department of Geography, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2468-5513
Hector PollittCambridge Centre for Energy, Environment and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.

Funding

Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy) Economics of Energy Innovation and System Transition
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Decarbonisation plans across the globe require zero-carbon energy sources to be widely deployed by 2050 or 2060. Solar energy is the most widely available energy resource on Earth, and its economic attractiveness is improving fast in a cycle of increasing investments. Here we use data-driven conditional technology and economic forecasting modelling to establish which zero carbon power sources could become dominant worldwide. We find that, due to technological trajectories set in motion by past policy, a global irreversible solar tipping point may have passed where solar energy gradually comes to dominate global electricity markets, without any further climate policies. Uncertainties arise, however, over grid stability in a renewables-dominated power system, the availability of sufficient finance in underdeveloped economies, the capacity of supply chains and political resistance from regions that lose employment. Policies resolving these barriers may be more effective than price instruments to accelerate the transition to clean energy.

Identifiers

PMID37848437
PMCPMC10582067

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.