Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37846350›Full record

ArticleThe journal of political economy2022

Reevaluating the Long-Term Impact of In Utero Exposure to the 1918 Influenza Pandemic.

Brian Beach, Ryan Brown, Joseph Ferrie, Martin Saavedra, Duncan Thomas

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of political economy, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
13.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Early-life infectious disease exposure, the "hygiene hypothesis," and lifespan: Evidence from hookworm disease.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Fertility in a Pandemic: Evidence from California.Population and development review · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. The 1968 Influenza Pandemic and COVID-19 Outcomes.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Brian BeachVanderbilt University and National Bureau of Economic Research.
Ryan BrownUniversity of Colorado Denver.
Joseph FerrieNorthwestern University and National Bureau of Economic Research.
Martin SaavedraOberlin College.
Duncan ThomasDuke University and National Bureau of Economic Research.
National Bureau of Economic Research · USOberlin College · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · US

Funding

Longer Term Effects of a Natural Disaster on Health and Socio-Economic StatusR01HD052762 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI FRANKENBERG, ELIZABETH A, THOMAS, DUNCAN · 2007 to 2024
$7.4M
The Evolution of Well-Being among Older Adults after a DisasterR01AG031266 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI FRANKENBERG, ELIZABETH A, THOMAS, DUNCAN · 2008 to 2017
$4.8M
T32 Administrative Supplement for Increase in Postdoc StipendsT32AG000139 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LYNCH, SCOTT M. · 1987 to 2017
$4.0M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG031266NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000139NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD052762
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Almond (2006) argues that in utero exposure to the 1918 influenza pandemic reduced the 1919 birth cohort's adult socioeconomic status (SES). We show that this cohort came from lower-SES families, which is incompatible with Almond's cohort-comparison identification strategy. The adult SES deficit is reduced after background characteristics are controlled for; it is small and statistically insignificant in models that include household fixed effects. Replicating Almond's state-level dose-response analysis, we find no evidence in census data that influenza exposure reduced adult SES. Evidence from a city-level dose-response analysis on educational attainment using WWII enlistees from 287 cities is mixed.

Identifiers

PMID37846350
PMCPMC10578057
OpenAlexW4220866672

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.