Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37840139›Full record

ArticleBMC emergency medicine2023

Multi-centric study for development and validation of a CT head rule for mild traumatic brain injury in direct oral anticoagulants: the HERO-M nomogram.

Naria Park, Greta Barbieri, Gianni Turcato, Alessandro Cipriano, Arian Zaboli, Sara Giampaoli, Antonio Bonora, Giorgio Ricci, Massimo Santini, Lorenzo Ghiadoni

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC emergency medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Naria ParkEmergency Medicine Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Greta BarbieriEmergency Medicine Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy. greta.barbieri@phd.unipi.it.
Gianni TurcatoEmergency Department, Hospital of Merano, Merano, Italy.
Alessandro CiprianoEmergency Medicine Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Arian ZaboliEmergency Department, Hospital of Merano, Merano, Italy.
Sara GiampaoliEmergency Medicine Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Antonio BonoraEmergency Department, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
Giorgio RicciEmergency Department, University of Verona, Verona, Italy.
Massimo SantiniEmergency Medicine Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Lorenzo GhiadoniEmergency Medicine Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Krankenhaus Meran · ITUniversity of Verona · ITUniversity of Pisa · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNomograms are easy-to-handle clinical tools which can help in estimating the risk of adverse outcome in certain population. This multi-center study aims to create and validate a simple and usable clinical prediction nomogram for individual risk of post-traumatic Intracranial Hemorrhage (ICH) after Mild Traumatic Brain Injury (MTBI) in patients treated with Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs).

methodsFrom January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2019, all patients on DOACs evaluated for an MTBI in five Italian Emergency Departments were enrolled. A training set to develop the nomogram and a test set for validation were identified. The predictive ability of the nomogram was assessed using AUROC, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis.

resultsOf the 1425 patients in DOACs in the study cohort, 934 (65.5%) were included in the training set and 491 (34.5%) in the test set. Overall, the rate of post-traumatic ICH was 6.9% (7.0% training and 6.9% test set). In a multivariate analysis, major trauma dynamic (OR: 2.73, p = 0.016), post-traumatic loss of consciousness (OR: 3.78, p = 0.001), post-traumatic amnesia (OR: 4.15, p < 0.001), GCS < 15 (OR: 3.00, p < 0.001), visible trauma above the clavicles (OR: 3. 44, p < 0.001), a post-traumatic headache (OR: 2.71, p = 0.032), a previous history of neurosurgery (OR: 7.40, p < 0.001), and post-traumatic vomiting (OR: 3.94, p = 0.008) were independent risk factors for ICH. The nomogram demonstrated a good ability to predict the risk of ICH (AUROC: 0.803; CI95% 0.721-0.884), and its clinical application showed a net clinical benefit always superior to performing CT on all patients.

conclusionThe Hemorrhage Estimate Risk in Oral anticoagulation for Mild head trauma (HERO-M) nomogram was able to predict post-traumatic ICH and can be easily applied in the Emergency Department (ED).

Indexed as

Brain ConcussionCraniocerebral TraumaAnticoagulantsHumansNomogramsRetrospective StudiesTomography, X-Ray ComputedAnticoagulantsAnticoagulationBrain injuryTrauma

Identifiers

PMID37840139
PMCPMC10578033
OpenAlexW4387652382

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.