Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37833724›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2023

A comparison of random survival forest and Cox regression for prediction of mortality in patients with hemorrhagic stroke.

Yuxin Wang, Yuhan Deng, Yinliang Tan, Meihong Zhou, Yong Jiang, Baohua Liu

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yuxin WangDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Education, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yuhan DengDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Education, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yinliang TanDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Education, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Meihong ZhouDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Education, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Yong JiangDepartment of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. jy78@vip.sina.com.
Baohua LiuDepartment of Social Medicine and Health Education, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China. baohualiu@bjmu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo evaluate RSF and Cox models for mortality prediction of hemorrhagic stroke (HS) patients in intensive care unit (ICU).

methodsIn the training set, the optimal models were selected using five-fold cross-validation and grid search method. In the test set, the bootstrap method was used to validate. The area under the curve(AUC) was used for discrimination, Brier Score (BS) was used for calibration, positive predictive value(PPV), negative predictive value(NPV), and F1 score were combined to compare.

resultsA total of 2,990 HS patients were included. For predicting the 7-day mortality, the mean AUCs for RSF and Cox regression were 0.875 and 0.761, while the mean BS were 0.083 and 0.108. For predicting the 28-day mortality, the mean AUCs for RSF and Cox regression were 0.794 and 0.649, while the mean BS were 0.129 and 0.174. The mean AUCs of RSF and Cox versus conventional scores for predicting patients' 7-day mortality were 0.875 (RSF), 0.761 (COX), 0.736 (SAPS II), 0.723 (OASIS), 0.632 (SIRS), and 0.596 (SOFA), respectively.

conclusionsRSF provided a better clinical reference than Cox. Creatine, temperature, anion gap and sodium were important variables in both models.

Indexed as

Hemorrhagic StrokeHumansIntensive Care UnitsPredictive Value of TestsROC CurveCox regressionHemorrhagic strokeIntensive care unitRandom survival forest

Identifiers

PMID37833724
PMCPMC10576378

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.