Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37816707›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Climate-induced decline in the quality and quantity of European hops calls for immediate adaptation measures.

Martin Mozny, Miroslav Trnka, Vojtech Vlach, Zdenek Zalud, Tomas Cejka, Lenka Hajkova, Vera Potopova, Mikhail A Semenov, Daniela Semeradova, Ulf Büntgen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Separate and Combined Effects of Supplemental COPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Martin MoznyGlobal Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300, Brno, Czechia. martin.mozny@chmi.cz.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6770-3614
Miroslav TrnkaGlobal Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300, Brno, Czechia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4727-8379
Vojtech VlachCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, 14306, Prague, Czechia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8493-6970
Zdenek ZaludGlobal Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300, Brno, Czechia.
Tomas CejkaGlobal Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300, Brno, Czechia.
Lenka HajkovaCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, 14306, Prague, Czechia.
Vera PotopovaGlobal Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300, Brno, Czechia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2723-0397
Mikhail A SemenovRothamsted Research Station, Harpenden, AL52JQ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1561-7113
Daniela SemeradovaGlobal Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300, Brno, Czechia.
Ulf BüntgenGlobal Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300, Brno, Czechia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A recent rise in the global brewery sector has increased the demand for high-quality, late summer hops. The effects of ongoing and predicted climate change on the yield and aroma of hops, however, remain largely unknown. Here, we combine meteorological measurements and model projections to assess the climate sensitivity of the yield, alpha content and cone development of European hops between 1970 and 2050 CE, when temperature increases by 1.4 °C and precipitation decreases by 24 mm. Accounting for almost 90% of all hop-growing regions, our results from Germany, the Czech Republic and Slovenia show that hop ripening started approximately 20 days earlier, production declined by almost 0.2 t/ha/year, and the alpha content decreased by circa 0.6% when comparing data before and after 1994 CE. A predicted decline in hop yield and alpha content of 4-18% and 20-31% by 2050 CE, respectively, calls for immediate adaptation measures to stabilize an ever-growing global sector.

Indexed as

HumulusAgricultureClimate ChangeOdorantsTemperature

Identifiers

PMID37816707
PMCPMC10564787

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.