Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37815485›Full record

ArticlePsychological medicine2023

A practical risk calculator for suicidal behavior among transitioning U.S. Army soldiers: results from the Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers-Longitudinal Study (STARRS-LS).

Jaclyn C Kearns, Emily R Edwards, Erin P Finley, Joseph C Geraci, Sarah M Gildea, Marianne Goodman, Irving Hwang, Chris J Kennedy, Andrew J King, Alex Luedtke and 8 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Psychological medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
4.4field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Mitigating Suicide Risk During the Military-to-Civilian Transition: The VA Veteran Sponsorship Initiative.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
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  2. Review
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  4. Differentiating U.S. military women veterans with suicidal ideation, suicide attempts, and no suicidal ideation or attempts.Military psychology : the official journal of the Division of Military Psychology, American Psychological Association · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.

Jaclyn C KearnsNational Center for PTSD, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA, USA.
Emily R EdwardsTransitioning Servicemember/Veteran And Suicide Prevention Center (TASC), VISN 2 Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, James J. Peters VA Medical Center, Bronx, New York, NY, USA.
Erin P FinleyCenter of Excellence for Research on Returning War Veterans, VISN 17, Doris Miller VA Medical Center, Waco, TX, USA.
Joseph C GeraciTransitioning Servicemember/Veteran And Suicide Prevention Center (TASC), VISN 2 Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, James J. Peters VA Medical Center, Bronx, New York, NY, USA.
Sarah M GildeaDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Marianne GoodmanTransitioning Servicemember/Veteran And Suicide Prevention Center (TASC), VISN 2 Mental Illness Research, Education and Clinical Center, James J. Peters VA Medical Center, Bronx, New York, NY, USA.
Irving HwangDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Chris J KennedyDepartment of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Andrew J KingDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Alex LuedtkeDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Brian P MarxNational Center for PTSD, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, MA, USA.
Maria V PetukhovaDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Nancy A SampsonDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Richard W SeimCenter of Excellence for Research on Returning War Veterans, VISN 17, Doris Miller VA Medical Center, Waco, TX, USA.
Ian H StanleyDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Murray B SteinDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Robert J UrsanoDepartment of Psychiatry, Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Ronald C KesslerDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4831-2305
Harvard University · USDoris Miller Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center · USBoston University · USFamilies USA · USJames J. Peters VA Medical Center · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USUniformed Services University of the Health Sciences · USUniversity of California San Diego · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Modifiable Risk and Protective Factors for Suicidal Behaviors in the US ArmyU01MH087981 · NIMH · HENRY M. JACKSON FDN FOR THE ADV MIL/MED · PI STEIN, MURRAY B., URSANO, ROBERT J. · 2009 to 2013
$65.0M
Postdoctoral Training Program in Stress and TraumaT32MH019836 · NIMH · TUFTS UNIVERSITY BOSTON · PI DENISE M. SLOAN · 1996 to 2026
$4.7M
CSRD VA I01 CX002621NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH019836NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH087981NIMH NIH HHS U01MH087981
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk of suicide-related behaviors is elevated among military personnel transitioning to civilian life. An earlier report showed that high-risk U.S. Army soldiers could be identified shortly before this transition with a machine learning model that included predictors from administrative systems, self-report surveys, and geospatial data. Based on this result, a Veterans Affairs and Army initiative was launched to evaluate a suicide-prevention intervention for high-risk transitioning soldiers. To make targeting practical, though, a streamlined model and risk calculator were needed that used only a short series of self-report survey questions.

methodsWe revised the original model in a sample of

resultsTwelve-month post-transition SA prevalence was 1.0% (s.e. = 0.1). The best constrained model, with only 17 predictors, had a test sample ROC-AUC of 0.85 (s.e. = 0.03). The 10-30% of respondents with the highest predicted risk included 44.9-92.5% of 12-month SAs.

conclusionsAn accurate SA risk calculator based on a short self-report survey can target transitioning soldiers shortly before leaving service for intervention to prevent post-transition SA.

Indexed as

Military PersonnelResilience, PsychologicalHumansLongitudinal StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSuicidal IdeationUnited StatesMachine learningsuicide attemptsuicide preventionveterans

Identifiers

PMID37815485
PMCPMC10575670
OpenAlexW4323662241

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.