Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37805216›Full record

ArticleLancet (London, England)2023

Blood-based tests for multicancer early detection (PATHFINDER): a prospective cohort study.

Deb Schrag, Tomasz M Beer, Charles H McDonnell, Lincoln Nadauld, Christina A Dilaveri, Robert Reid, Catherine R Marinac, Karen C Chung, Margarita Lopatin, Eric T Fung and 1 more

5 registry-linked trialsOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet (London, England), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 5 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 257 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
257citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
77.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04241796 nacompletednot on this map

The PATHFINDER Study: Assessment of the Implementation of an Investigational Multi-Cancer Early Detection Test Into Clinical Practice

TypeinterventionalSponsorGRAIL, Inc.Ran2019 to 2022Enrolled6,662ConditionsCancerArmsMulti-Cancer Early Detection Test
NCT06391749 enrolling by invitationnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

K-ACCELERATE: A Multi-center Prospective Trial to Evaluate Clinical Utility of Multi Cancer Early Detection Test as a Triage Test for Symptomatic Participants

TypeobservationalSponsorGene SolutionsRan2024 to 2026Enrolled1,000ConditionsCancer Colon, Cancer, Liver, Cancer, Lung, Cancer, Breast
NCT06632886 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

A Prospective Cohort Study Evaluating the Utility of Artificial Intelligence-Assisted Non-Contrast Computed Tomography for Multi-Cancer Screening in Asymptomatic Individuals Undergoing Routine Health Examinations

TypeinterventionalSponsorGuo ShiWeiRan2024 to 2027Enrolled1,000,000ConditionsLung Cancers, Liver Cancer, Gastric Cancers, Colorectal, CancerArmsAI-Assisted Non-Contrast CT for Multi-Cancer Screening
NCT06989814 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Smart Measurement of Circulating Tumor DNA: a Tumor-agnostic Computational Tool to Improve Colorectal Cancer Care

TypeinterventionalSponsorErasmus Medical CenterRan2025 to 2027Enrolled50ConditionsColorectal Neoplasms, Colorectal Neoplasms Malignant, Colorectal Neoplasms, Hereditary Nonpolyposis, Hereditary Nonpolyposis Colon CancerArmsBlood Product
NCT07126626 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Multi-center Prospective Validation of the SPOT-MAS Lung Test Using Circulating Tumor DNA for the Detection of Lung Cancer

TypeobservationalSponsorGene SolutionsRan2025 to 2027Enrolled1,184ConditionsLung Diseases, Lung Cancer Screening
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

257 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 320 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Beyond the Needle: Is Liquid Biopsy the Future of Veterinary Medicine?International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
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197 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

Deb SchragMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA. Electronic address: schragd@mskcc.org.
Tomasz M BeerExact Sciences, Madison, WI, USA.
Charles H McDonnellSutter Health, Sacramento, CA, USA.
Lincoln NadauldIntermountain Healthcare, St George, UT, USA.
Christina A DilaveriMayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Robert ReidUS Oncology Research, VA Cancer Specialists, Fairfax, VA, USA.
Catherine R MarinacDana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA.
Karen C ChungGRAIL, Menlo Park, CA, USA.
Margarita LopatinGRAIL, Menlo Park, CA, USA.
Eric T FungGRAIL, Menlo Park, CA, USA.
Eric A KleinGRAIL, Menlo Park, CA, USA.
Grail (United States) · USDana-Farber Cancer Institute · USExact Sciences (United States) · USIntermountain Healthcare · USMayo Clinic in Arizona · USMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USMenlo School · USSutter Health · USVirginia Cancer Specialists · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMulticancer early detection (MCED) blood tests can detect a cancer signal from circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA). PATHFINDER was a prospective cohort study investigating the feasibility of MCED testing for cancer screening.

methodsIn this prospective cohort study done in oncology and primary care outpatient clinics at seven US health networks, a convenience sample of adults aged 50 years or older without signs or symptoms of cancer consented to MCED testing. We collected blood, analysed cfDNA, and returned results to participants' doctors. If a methylation signature indicative of cancer was detected, predicted cancer signal origin(s) informed diagnostic assessment. The primary outcome was time to, and extent of, diagnostic testing required to confirm the presence or absence of cancer. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04241796, and is completed.

findingsBetween Dec 12, 2019, and Dec 4, 2020, we recruited 6662 participants. 4204 (63·5%) of 6621 participants with analysable results were women, 2417 (36·5%) were men, and 6071 (91·7%) were White. A cancer signal was detected in 92 (1·4%) of 6621 participants with analysable results. 35 (38%) participants were diagnosed with cancer (true positives) and 57 (62%) had no cancer diagnosis (false positives). Excluding two participants whose diagnostic assessments began before MCED test results were reported, median time to diagnostic resolution was 79 days (IQR 37-219): 57 days (33-143) in true-positive and 162 days (44-248) in false-positive participants. Most participants had both laboratory tests (26 [79%] of 33 with true-positive results and 50 [88%] of 57 with false-positive results) and imaging (30 [91%] of 33 with true-positive results and 53 [93%] of 57 with false-positive results). Fewer procedures were done in participants with false-positive results (17 [30%] of 57) than true-positive results (27 [82%] of 33) and few had surgery (one with a false-positive result and three with a true-positive result).

interpretationThis study supports the feasibility of MCED screening for cancer and underscores the need for further research investigating the test's clinical utility.

fundingGRAIL.

Indexed as

Cell-Free Nucleic AcidsNeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHematologic TestsHumansMaleProspective StudiesCell-Free Nucleic Acids

Identifiers

PMID37805216
PMCPMC11027492
OpenAlexW4387381160

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.