Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37802889›Full record

Observational studyInternational journal of epidemiology2023

Excess mortality in US Veterans during the COVID-19 pandemic: an individual-level cohort study.

Daniel M Weinberger, Krishnan Bhaskaran, Caroline Korves, Brian P Lucas, Jesse A Columbo, Anita Vashi, Louise Davies, Amy C Justice, Christopher T Rentsch

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in International journal of epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Daniel M WeinbergerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Krishnan BhaskaranFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Caroline KorvesDepartment of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Clinical Epidemiology Program, White River Junction, VT, USA.
Brian P LucasDepartment of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT, USA.
Jesse A ColumboDepartment of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT, USA.
Anita VashiCenter for Innovation to Implementation, VA Palo Alto Health Care System, Menlo Park, CA, USA.
Louise DaviesDepartment of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5581-2813
Amy C JusticeCenter for Interdisciplinary Research on AIDS, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Christopher T RentschFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1408-7907

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Alcohol Associated Outcomes Among HIV+/- Aging VeteransU10AA013566 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2006 to 2010
$12.7M
Alcohol and Multisubstance Use in the Veterans Aging Cohort StudyU01AA020790 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2011 to 2020
$7.7M
The HIV and Alcohol Research center focused on Polypharmacy (HARP)P01AA029545 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2021 to 2025
$6.3M
Sex Disparities in Overall Response to ART Among HIV Infected IndividualsU24AA020794 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2011 to 2020
$5.5M
3/3 COMpAAAS Tripartite: ART-CC, KP, and VAU01AA026224 · NIAAA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JUSTICE, AMY CAROLINE · 2017 to 2021
$2.9M
Comparative-Effectiveness of Procedures for Carotid RevascularizationK08HL165087 · NHLBI · DARTMOUTH-HITCHCOCK CLINIC · PI Jesse A Columbo · 2023 to 2026
$587k
HSRD VA C19 21-287NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NHLBI NIH HHS K08 HL165087NIAAA NIH HHS P01 AA029545NIAAA NIH HHS P01-AA029545NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA020790NIAAA NIH HHS U01 AA026224NIAAA NIH HHS U10 AA013566NIAAA NIH HHS U24 AA020794
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMost analyses of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic have employed aggregate data. Individual-level data from the largest integrated healthcare system in the US may enhance understanding of excess mortality.

methodsWe performed an observational cohort study following patients receiving care from the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) between 1 March 2018 and 28 February 2022. We estimated excess mortality on an absolute scale (i.e. excess mortality rates, number of excess deaths) and a relative scale by measuring the hazard ratio (HR) for mortality comparing pandemic and pre-pandemic periods, overall and within demographic and clinical subgroups. Comorbidity burden and frailty were measured using the Charlson Comorbidity Index and Veterans Aging Cohort Study Index, respectively.

resultsOf 5 905 747 patients, the median age was 65.8 years and 91% were men. Overall, the excess mortality rate was 10.0 deaths/1000 person-years (PY), with a total of 103 164 excess deaths and pandemic HR of 1.25 (95% CI 1.25-1.26). Excess mortality rates were highest among the most frail patients (52.0/1000 PY) and those with the highest comorbidity burden (16.3/1000 PY). However, the largest relative mortality increases were observed among the least frail (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.30-1.32) and those with the lowest comorbidity burden (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.43-1.46).

conclusionsIndividual-level data offered crucial clinical and operational insights into US excess mortality patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic. Notable differences emerged among clinical risk groups, emphasizing the need for reporting excess mortality in both absolute and relative terms to inform resource allocation in future outbreaks.

Indexed as

COVID-19VeteransAgedCohort StudiesComorbidityFemaleHumansMalePandemicscomorbidityCOVID-19electronic health recordsexcess mortalityfrailtyVeterans

Identifiers

PMID37802889
PMCPMC10749763

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.