Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37798357›Full record

Observational studyScientific reports2023

An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions.

Winnie Chua, Victor R Cardoso, Eduard Guasch, Moritz F Sinner, Christoph Al-Taie, Paul Brady, Barbara Casadei, Harry J G M Crijns, Elton A M P Dudink, Stéphane N Hatem and 13 more

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Interactions of blood biomolecules with early rhythm control in atrial fibrillation patients: exploratory analysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Trial
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  5. Comprehensive assessment of novel cardiovascular biomarkers in AF.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  6. Predicting atrial fibrillation after an acute coronary syndrome: insights from the BACS & BAMI study.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
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  11. A novel technique for vein of Marshall blood sampling and its application in assessing atrial remodeling in atrial fibrillation.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2025
    Article
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  14. Review
  15. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors at 11 institutions in 6 countries.

Winnie ChuaInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Victor R CardosoInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Eduard GuaschHospital Clinic de Barcelona, Institute of Biomedical Research August Pi Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain.
Moritz F SinnerDepartment of Medicine I, University Hospital, LMU, Munich, Germany.
Christoph Al-TaieUniversity Center of Cardiovascular Science, University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, UKE Martinistrasse 52, 20246, Hamburg, Germany.
Paul BradyInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Barbara CasadeiUniversity of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Harry J G M CrijnsCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Elton A M P DudinkCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Stéphane N HatemIHU-ICAN Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition, Paris, France.
Stefan KääbDepartment of Medicine I, University Hospital, LMU, Munich, Germany.
Peter KastnerRoche Diagnostics GmbH, Penzberg, Germany.
Lluis MontHospital Clinic de Barcelona, Institute of Biomedical Research August Pi Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain.
Frantisek NehajInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Yanish PurmahInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Jasmeet S ReyatInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Ulrich SchottenCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Laura C SommerfeldInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Stef ZeemeringCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
André ZieglerRoche Diagnostics International AG, Rotkreuz, Switzerland.
Georgios V GkoutosMRC Health Data Research UK (HDR), Midlands Site, London, UK.
Paulus KirchhofInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Larissa FabritzInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK. L.Fabritz@uke.de.
Maastricht University · NLUniversität Hamburg · DESandwell & West Birmingham Hospitals NHS Trust · GBHealth Data Research UK · GBHospital Clínic de Barcelona · ESLMU Klinikum · DEUniversity of Birmingham · GBFondation pour l’innovation en Cadiométabolisme et Nutrition · FRRoche Pharma AG (Germany) · DERoche (Switzerland) · CHUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

British Heart Foundation AA/18/2/34218British Heart Foundation CH/12/3/29609British Heart Foundation FS/13/43/30324British Heart Foundation RG/16/12/32451Medical Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) enables initiation of anticoagulation and early rhythm control therapy to reduce stroke, cardiovascular death, and heart failure. In a cross-sectional, observational study, we aimed to identify a combination of circulating biomolecules reflecting different biological processes to detect prevalent AF in patients with cardiovascular conditions presenting to hospital. Twelve biomarkers identified by reviewing literature and patents were quantified on a high-precision, high-throughput platform in 1485 consecutive patients with cardiovascular conditions (median age 69 years [Q1, Q3 60, 78]; 60% male). Patients had either known AF (45%) or AF ruled out by 7-day ECG-monitoring. Logistic regression with backward elimination and a neural network approach considering 7 key clinical characteristics and 12 biomarker concentrations were applied to a randomly sampled discovery cohort (n = 933) and validated in the remaining patients (n = 552). In addition to age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), BMP10, ANGPT2, and FGF23 identified patients with prevalent AF (AUC 0.743 [95% CI 0.712, 0.775]). These circulating biomolecules represent distinct pathways associated with atrial cardiomyopathy and AF. Neural networks identified the same variables as the regression-based approach. The validation using regression yielded an AUC of 0.719 (95% CI 0.677, 0.762), corroborated using deep neural networks (AUC 0.784 [95% CI 0.745, 0.822]). Age, sex, BMI and three circulating biomolecules (BMP10, ANGPT2, FGF23) are associated with prevalent AF in unselected patients presenting to hospital. Findings should be externally validated. Results suggest that age and different disease processes approximated by these three biomolecules contribute to AF in patients. Our findings have the potential to improve screening programs for AF after external validation.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationStrokeAgedAngiopoietin-2BiomarkersBone Morphogenetic ProteinsCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleRisk FactorsAngiopoietin-2BiomarkersBMP10 protein, humanBone Morphogenetic Proteins

Identifiers

PMID37798357
PMCPMC10556075
OpenAlexW4387373964

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.