Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37798018›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2023

Prognostic models based on lymph node density for primary gastrointestinal melanoma: a SEER population-based analysis.

Jiaqi Zeng, Lin Zhu, Guanzhou Zhou, Fei Pan, Yunsheng Yang

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Primary melanoma of the gastrointestinal tract.World journal of gastroenterology · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jiaqi Zeng *Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Lin Zhu *Faculty of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Guanzhou Zhou *Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Fei PanDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China sunnyddc@plagh.org panfei@plagh.org.ORCID 0000-0002-3307-7931
Yunsheng YangDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China sunnyddc@plagh.org panfei@plagh.org.
Chinese PLA General Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aimed to construct prognostic models to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients with primary gastrointestinal melanoma (PGIM).

designAn observational and retrospective study.

settingData were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) programme database, encompassing a broad geographical and demographic spectrum of patients across the USA.

participantsA total of 991 patients diagnosed with PGIM were included in this study.

methodsA total of 991 patients with PGIM were selected from the SEER database. They were further divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. Independent prognostic factors were identified by Cox regression analysis. Two prognostic models were constructed based on the results of multivariable Cox regression analysis. The concordance index (C-index) and area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC) were used to evaluate the discriminative ability. Calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the agreement between the probability as predicted by the models and the actual probability. Risk stratification was developed given the model.

resultsBy the multivariable Cox regression analysis, we identified four independent risk factors (age, stage, lymph node density and surgery) for OS, and three independent risk factors (stage, lymph node density and surgery) for CSS, which were used to construct prognostic models. C-index, time-dependent AUC, calibration curves and Kaplan-Meier curves of risk stratification indicated that these two models had good discriminative ability, predictive ability as well as clinical value.

conclusionsThe prognostic models of OS and CSS had satisfactory accuracy and were of clinical value in evaluating the prognosis of patients with PGIM.

Indexed as

Gastrointestinal NeoplasmsMelanomaHumansLymph NodesNomogramsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorsgastrointestinal tumoursprognosisrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID37798018
PMCPMC10565139
OpenAlexW4387376612

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.