Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37795569›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2023

Prediction model of ocular metastasis from primary liver cancer: Machine learning-based development and interpretation study.

Jin-Qi Sun, Shi-Nan Wu, Zheng-Lin Mou, Jia-Yi Wen, Hong Wei, Jie Zou, Qing-Jian Li, Zhao-Lin Liu, San Hua Xu, Min Kang and 7 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Jin-Qi SunFuxing Hospital, The Eighth Clinical Medical College, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Shi-Nan WuDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-6992-9059
Zheng-Lin MouDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0001-6030-5533
Jia-Yi WenDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
Hong WeiDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
Jie ZouDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
Qing-Jian LiFujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, Eye Institute of Xiamen University, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China.
Zhao-Lin LiuDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of University of South China, Hunan Branch of The National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Hengyang, People's Republic of China.
San Hua XuDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
Min KangDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
Qian LingDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
Hui HuangDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.
Xu ChenDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands.
Yi-Xin WangSchool of Optometry and Vision Sciences, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK.
Xu-Lin LiaoDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, People's Republic of China.
Gang TanDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of University of South China, Hunan Branch of The National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Hengyang, People's Republic of China.
Yi ShaoDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Jiangxi Branch of the National Clinical Research Center for Ocular Disease, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0003-1571-2433
Nanchang University · CNFirst Affiliated Hospital of University of South China · CNCapital Medical University · CNCardiff University · GBChinese University of Hong Kong · HKMaastricht University · NLXiamen University · CN

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82160195
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOcular metastasis (OM) is a rare metastatic site of primary liver cancer (PLC). The purpose of this study was to establish a clinical predictive model of OM in PLC patients based on machine learning (ML).

methodsWe retrospectively collected the clinical data of 1540 PLC patients and divided it into a training set and an internal test set in a 7:3 proportion. PLC patients were divided into OM and non-ocular metastasis (NOM) groups, and univariate logistic regression analysis was performed between the two groups. The variables with univariate logistic analysis p < 0.05 were selected for the ML model. We constructed six ML models, which were internally verified by 10-fold cross-validation. The prediction performance of each ML model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs). We also constructed a web calculator based on the optimal performance ML model to personalize the risk probability for OM.

resultsSix variables were selected for the ML model. The extreme gradient boost (XGB) ML model achieved the optimal differential diagnosis ability, with an area under the curve (AUC) = 0.993, accuracy = 0.992, sensitivity = 0.998, and specificity = 0.984. Based on these results, an online web calculator was constructed by using the XGB ML model to help clinicians diagnose and treat the risk probability of OM in PLC patients. Finally, the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) library was used to obtain the six most important risk factors for OM in PLC patients: CA125, ALP, AFP, TG, CA199, and CEA.

conclusionWe used the XGB model to establish a risk prediction model of OM in PLC patients. The predictive model can help identify PLC patients with a high risk of OM, provide early and personalized diagnosis and treatment, reduce the poor prognosis of OM patients, and improve the quality of life of PLC patients.

Indexed as

Eye NeoplasmsLiver NeoplasmsHumansMachine LearningQuality of LifeRetrospective StudiesRisk Factorsmachine learningocular metastasisprimary liver cancerShapley additive explanationsXGBoost

Identifiers

PMID37795569
PMCPMC10652349
OpenAlexW4387357725

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.