Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37793703›Full record

ArticleBMJ open ophthalmology2023

Prediction of refractive error and its progression: a machine learning-based algorithm.

Maria J Barraza-Bernal, Arne Ohlendorf, Pablo Sanz Diez, Xiancai Feng, Li-Hua Yang, Mei-Xia Lu, Siegfried Wahl, Timo Kratzer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open ophthalmology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. The application of artificial intelligence in myopia prediction for children and adolescents: a review.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
    Review
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. IMI-Interventions for Controlling Myopia Onset and Progression 2025.Investigative ophthalmology & visual science · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Refractive development III: Variations in emmetropia and ametropia.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Article
  12. Artificial intelligence in ophthalmology: opportunities, challenges, and ethical considerations.Medical hypothesis, discovery & innovation ophthalmology journal · 2025
    Review
  13. Review
  14. Cross-population validation of the PreMO risk indicator for predicting myopia onset in children.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Artificial intelligence in the anterior segment of eye diseases.International journal of ophthalmology · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Maria J Barraza-BernalTechnology and Innovation, Carl Zeiss Vision GmbH, Aalen, Germany maria-jose.barraza-bernal@zeiss.com.
Arne OhlendorfTechnology and Innovation, Carl Zeiss Vision International GmbH, Aalen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6373-1420
Pablo Sanz DiezCarl Zeiss Vision International GmbH, Aalen, Germany.
Xiancai FengMyopia Prevention and Management, Carl Zeiss Shanghai Co Ltd, Shanghai, China.
Li-Hua YangWuhan Center for Adolescent Poor Vision Prevention and Control, Wuhan, China.
Mei-Xia LuWuhan Commission of Experts for the Prevention and Control of Adolescent Poor Vision, Wuhan, China.
Siegfried WahlCarl Zeiss Vision International GmbH, Aalen, Germany.
Timo KratzerTechnology and Innovation, Carl Zeiss Vision GmbH, Aalen, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveMyopia is the refractive error that shows the highest prevalence for younger ages in Southeast Asia and its projection over the next decades indicates that this situation will worsen. Nowadays, several management solutions are being applied to help fight its onset and development, nonetheless, the applications of these techniques depend on a clear and reliable assessment of risk to develop myopia. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: In this study, population-based data of Chinese children were used to develop a machine learning-based algorithm that enables the risk assessment of myopia's onset and development. Cross-sectional data of 12 780 kids together with longitudinal data of 226 kids containing age, gender, biometry and refractive parameters were used for the development of the models.

resultsA combination of support vector regression and Gaussian process regression resulted in the best performing algorithm. The Pearson correlation coefficient between prediction and measured data was 0.77, whereas the bias was -0.05 D and the limits of agreement was 0.85 D (95% CI: -0.91 to 0.80D). DISCUSSION: The developed algorithm uses accessible inputs to provide an estimate of refractive development and may serve as guide for the eye care professional to help determine the individual best strategy for management of myopia.

Indexed as

MyopiaRefractive ErrorsChildCross-Sectional StudiesHumansMachine LearningRefraction, Ocularoptics and refractionpublic health

Identifiers

PMID37793703
PMCPMC10551949

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.