Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37792515›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Trade-offs between cost and information in cellular prediction.

Age J Tjalma, Vahe Galstyan, Jeroen Goedhart, Lotte Slim, Nils B Becker, Pieter Rein Ten Wolde

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Nature physics · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. ChemotaxingbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  4. ChemotaxingArXiv · 2025
    Article
  5. Actionable Forecasting as a Determinant of Biological Adaptation.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Stochastic thermodynamics for biological functions.Quantitative biology (Beijing, China) · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Age J TjalmaAMOLF, Science Park 104, 1098 XG Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7028-0819
Vahe GalstyanAMOLF, Science Park 104, 1098 XG Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-7073-9175
Jeroen GoedhartAMOLF, Science Park 104, 1098 XG Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-0134-1897
Lotte SlimAMOLF, Science Park 104, 1098 XG Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Nils B BeckerTheoretical Systems Biology, German Cancer Research Center, 69120 Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7490-6425
Pieter Rein Ten WoldeAMOLF, Science Park 104, 1098 XG Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-9933-4016
Institute for Atomic and Molecular Physics · NLGerman Cancer Research Center · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Living cells can leverage correlations in environmental fluctuations to predict the future environment and mount a response ahead of time. To this end, cells need to encode the past signal into the output of the intracellular network from which the future input is predicted. Yet, storing information is costly while not all features of the past signal are equally informative on the future input signal. Here, we show for two classes of input signals that cellular networks can reach the fundamental bound on the predictive information as set by the information extracted from the past signal: Push-pull networks can reach this information bound for Markovian signals, while networks that take a temporal derivative can reach the bound for predicting the future derivative of non-Markovian signals. However, the bits of past information that are most informative about the future signal are also prohibitively costly. As a result, the optimal system that maximizes the predictive information for a given resource cost is, in general, not at the information bound. Applying our theory to the chemotaxis network of

Indexed as

ChemotaxisEscherichia colichemotaxisinformation theorypredictionresource allocationsensing

Identifiers

PMID37792515
PMCPMC10576116
OpenAlexW4387332535

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.