Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37790993›Full record

ReviewBJA open2023

A Monte Carlo simulation study comparing the up and down, biased-coin up and down and continual reassessment methods used to estimate an effective dose (ED

Jean-François Fils, Panayota Kapessidou, Philippe Van der Linden, Emmanuel Guntz

Open access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in BJA open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Determination of the EDDrug design, development and therapy · 2026
    Trial
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  3. Trial
  4. Trial
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  6. Trial
  7. Trial
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  9. Effective remimazolam loading dose for adequate sedation in regional anesthesia.Canadian journal of anaesthesia = Journal canadien d'anesthesie · 2024
    Trial
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. The EDBJA open · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jean-François FilsArs Statistica, Nivelles, Belgium.
Panayota KapessidouDepartment of Anesthesiology, University Hospital Saint-Pierre, Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Brussels, Belgium.
Philippe Van der LindenFaculty of Medicine, Campus Erasme, Free University of Brussels, Brussels, Belgium.
Emmanuel GuntzDepartment of Anesthesiology, Hôpital Braine-l'Alleud Waterloo, Université Libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Braine-l'Alleud, Belgium.
Université Libre de Bruxelles · BEStatistics Belgium · BE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Dose-finding studies in anaesthesiology aim to target the effective dose (ED) of an anaesthetic agent in a specific population. The common dose-finding designs used are the up and down method (UDM), the biased-coin up and down (BCD), and the continual reassessment method (CRM). Although the advantages of CRM over the UDM and BCD methods have been described in the statistical literature in terms of precision and direct estimation of ED, CRM may also offer attractive properties from an ethical point of view. Methods: Based on Monte Carlo simulations, this article aims to compare the three methods with regard to 1) their ability to find as close an estimate as possible for the ED Results: In contrast to BCD and UDM, CRM does find an estimate for ED Conclusions: Based on Monte Carlo simulations, our work suggests that the UDM is not an adequate dose-finding method because it underestimates the ED of interest. Compared with BCD, CRM offers the advantages of being more efficient, requires fewer patients to be included, and is associated with fewer failures.

Indexed as

biased-coin up and downcontinual reassessment methoddose-findingeffective dose, up and downMonte Carlo simulations

Identifiers

PMID37790993
PMCPMC10542596
OpenAlexW4387112798

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.