Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37783682›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Unchanged frequency and decreasing magnitude of outbursts from ice-dammed lakes in Alaska.

B Rick, D McGrath, S W McCoy, W H Armstrong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Rapid ice-marginal lake growth in Alaska driven by glacier retreat through bed overdeepenings.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

B RickDepartment of Geosciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523, USA. bri.rick07@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0516-7577
D McGrathDepartment of Geosciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9462-6842
S W McCoyDepartment of Geological Sciences and Engineering, University of Nevada, Reno, NV, 89557, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1217-787X
W H ArmstrongDepartment of Geological and Environmental Sciences, Appalachian State University, Boone, NC, 28607, USA.

Funding

National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) 80NSSC20K1624National Science Foundation (NSF) 006784-00002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Glacial lakes can form and grow due to glacial retreat, and rapid lake drainage can produce destructive floods. Outburst flood compilations show a temporal increase in frequency; however, recent studies highlight the role of observational bias, creating uncertainty about current and future glacial-lake hazards. Here, we focus on the Alaska region, which generated a third of previously documented outbursts globally. Using multitemporal satellite imagery, we documented 1150 drainages from 106 ice-dammed lakes between 1985 and 2020. Documented events became more frequent over time, however, accounting for increasing image availability reveals no significant increase occurred. Most lakes decreased in area and volume, suggesting a reduction in regional flood hazard. Our satellite-based approach documented 60% more events in a 35-year period than had previously been documented over 100 years. This suggests that outburst floods have historically been underreported and warrants systematic study of other regions.

Identifiers

PMID37783682
PMCPMC10545694

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.