Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37776991›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery2024

Impact of heart failure on reoperation in adult congenital heart disease: An innovative machine learning model.

Elaine M Griffeth, Elizabeth H Stephens, Joseph A Dearani, Jacob T Shreve, Donnchadh O'Sullivan, Alexander C Egbe, Heidi M Connolly, Austin Todd, Luke J Burchill

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A systematic review of machine learning in heart disease prediction.Turkish journal of biology = Turk biyoloji dergisi · 2025
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Elaine M GriffethDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Elizabeth H StephensDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Joseph A DearaniDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Jacob T ShreveDepartment of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Donnchadh O'SullivanDepartment of Pediatric and Adolescent Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Alexander C EgbeDivision of Structural Heart Disease, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Heidi M ConnollyDivision of Structural Heart Disease, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Austin ToddDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn.
Luke J BurchillDivision of Structural Heart Disease, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minn. Electronic address: burchill.luke@mayo.edu.
Mayo Clinic in Arizona · USMayo Clinic in Florida · US

Funding

Mayo Clinic StARR ProgramR38HL150086 · NHLBI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI VESNA D GAROVIC, KARL A. NATH · 2020 to 2026
$2.5M
NHLBI NIH HHS R38 HL150086
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe study objectives were to evaluate the association between preoperative heart failure and reoperative cardiac surgical outcomes in adult congenital heart disease and to develop a risk model for postoperative morbidity/mortality.

methodsSingle-institution retrospective cohort study of adult patients with congenital heart disease undergoing reoperative cardiac surgery between January 1, 2010, and March 30, 2022. Heart failure defined clinically as preoperative diuretic use and either New York Heart Association Class II to IV or systemic ventricular ejection fraction less than 40%. Composite outcome included operative mortality, mechanical circulatory support, dialysis, unplanned noncardiac reoperation, persistent neurologic deficit, and cardiac arrest. Multivariable logistic regression and machine learning analysis using gradient boosting technology were performed. Shapley statistics determined feature influence, or impact, on model output.

resultsPreoperative heart failure was present in 376 of 1011 patients (37%); those patients had longer postoperative length of stay (6 [5-8] vs 5 [4-7] days, P < .001), increased postoperative mechanical circulatory support (21/376 [6%] vs 16/635 [3%], P = .015), and decreased long-term survival (84% [80%-89%] vs 90% [86%-93%]) at 10 years (P = .002). A 7-feature machine learning risk model for the composite outcome achieved higher area under the curve (0.76) than logistic regression, and ejection fraction was most influential (highest mean |Shapley value|). Additional risk factors for the composite outcome included age, number of prior cardiopulmonary bypass operations, urgent/emergency procedure, and functionally univentricular physiology.

conclusionsHeart failure is common among adult patients with congenital heart disease undergoing cardiac reoperation and associated with longer length of stay, increased postoperative mechanical circulatory support, and decreased long-term survival. Machine learning yields a novel 7-feature risk model for postoperative morbidity/mortality, in which ejection fraction was the most influential.

Indexed as

Cardiac Surgical ProceduresHeart Defects, CongenitalHeart FailureMachine LearningReoperationAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTime FactorsTreatment Outcomemachine learningmechanical circulatory supportpostoperative morbiditysurvival

Identifiers

PMID37776991
PMCPMC10972775
OpenAlexW4387118013

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.